Premier League · Feb 28, 2026 15:30

Gżira United
PWR 35

Zabbar St. Patrick
PWR 35

Gżira United
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Zabbar St. Patrick
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Gżira United to win (63% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
63%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (17%)0-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)1-0 (12%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (7%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.62x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.65x
Over 2.5
27%
Under 2.5
73%
73%
BTTS
No
No 35%
Over 3.5
16%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Gżira United
WWLLW
STABLE
Zabbar St. Pat…
WDDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskAway draws 40% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 73% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Gżira Unitedvs
1.05
Zabbar St. Pat…Goal Probability
Gżira United
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Zabbar St. …
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 62% | 39% | - |
| 2.5 | 35% | 66% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Gżira United+6
Gap#10
Zabbar St. …
WR 33% 14 pts
WR 20% 6 pts
Gżira United
12.0%
| Feb 25 | Gżira U… v Hiberni… | 3-2 |
| Feb 22 | Gżira U… v Mosta | 1-0 |
| Feb 17 | Gżira U… v Naxxar … | 4-2 |
| Feb 13 | Gżira U… v Vallett… | 0-2 |
| Feb 08 | Gżira U… v Floriana | 1-2 |
| Feb 03 | Gżira U… v Hamrun … | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Gżira U… v Tarxien… | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | Gżira U… v Birkirk… | 2-0 |
| Jan 18 | Gżira U… v Marsaxl… | 3-0 |
| Jan 11 | Gżira U… v Zabbar … | 0-2 |
Zabbar St. Pat…
12.0%
| Feb 21 | Zabbar … v Birkirk… | 0-3 |
| Feb 17 | Zabbar … v Vallett… | 0-0 |
| Feb 13 | Zabbar … v Hamrun … | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Zabbar … v Marsaxl… | 1-2 |
| Feb 04 | Zabbar … v Hiberni… | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Zabbar … v Floriana | 0-3 |
| Jan 28 | Zabbar … v Floriana | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | Zabbar … v Naxxar … | 2-1 |
| Jan 16 | Zabbar … v Sliema … | 1-0 |
| Jan 11 | Zabbar … v Gżira U… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Jan 11, 2026 | Gżira United | 0-2 | Zabbar St. Pa… |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Zabbar St. Pa… | 2-0 | Gżira United |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Zabbar St. Pa… | 1-2 | Gżira United |
| Mar 13, 2025 | Zabbar St. Pa… | 3-0 | Gżira United |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Gżira United | 2-1 | Zabbar St. Pa… |
| Nov 02, 2024 | Gżira United | 3-1 | Zabbar St. Pa… |
| Feb 16, 2022 | Gżira United | 4-0 | Zabbar St. Pa… |
Decision Breakdown
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
63%
Market
41%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Gżira United in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.