Championship · Feb 28, 2026 15:00
Ards
PWR 35
Ballinamallard United
PWR 35
Ards
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Ballinamallard United
PWR 35
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (26%)
0-1 (23%)
1-0 (12%)
1-1 (11%)
0-2 (10%)
1-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
WRONG - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Ards Form
DLWDL
STABLE
Ballinamallard… Form
LDLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.515%
BTTS22%
Under 2.585%
Ards Goals
0
62%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Ballinamall… Goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 3.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.4
Over 3.522%
BTTS Yes37%
Home Clean Sheet56%
Away Clean Sheet16%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (17%)
2-0 (15%)
1-1 (10%)
0-0 (9%)
3-0 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48
Ardsvs
0.87
Ballinamallard…Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum46%
Standings57%
Market52%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Ards+2
Gap#10
Ballinamall…
WR 40% 36 pts
WR 27% 32 pts
Ards
8.0%
| Feb 21 | Ards v Queen's… | 2-2 |
| Feb 14 | Ards v H&W Wel… | 2-3 |
| Feb 03 | Ards v Newingt… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Ards v Institu… | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | Ards v Newingt… | 2-0 |
| Jan 10 | Ards v Dungann… | 3-0 |
| Dec 30 | Ards v Armagh … | 0-8 |
| Dec 26 | Ards v Warrenp… | 0-0 |
| Dec 20 | Ards v Dundela | 1-4 |
| Dec 06 | Ards v Loughga… | 1-1 |
Ballinamallard…
6.0%
| Feb 24 | Ballina… v Warrenp… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Ballina… v Annagh … | 0-0 |
| Feb 17 | Ballina… v Loughga… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Ballina… v Dundela | 1-4 |
| Jan 31 | Ballina… v Institu… | 0-1 |
| Jan 16 | Ballina… v Limavad… | 0-1 |
| Jan 13 | Ballina… v Institu… | 0-3 |
| Dec 30 | Ballina… v Queen's… | 1-1 |
| Dec 26 | Ballina… v Annagh … | 0-1 |
| Dec 20 | Ballina… v Armagh … | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 31, 2025 | Ballinamallar… | 1-0 | Ards |
| Aug 09, 2025 | Ards | 3-1 | Ballinamallar… |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Ballinamallar… | 2-2 | Ards |
| Dec 07, 2024 | Ards | 0-1 | Ballinamallar… |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Ballinamallar… | 2-2 | Ards |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Ballinamallar… | 0-5 | Ards |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Ards | 0-1 | Ballinamallar… |
| Dec 09, 2023 | Ards | 2-2 | Ballinamallar… |
| Oct 07, 2023 | Ballinamallar… | 1-1 | Ards |
| Oct 03, 2023 | Ballinamallar… | 1-5 | Ards |
Key Factors
Ballinamallard United struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.