Super League · Mar 01, 2026 12:00
Nzoia Sugar FC
PWR 35
Nairobi City Stars
PWR 35
Nzoia Sugar FC
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
Nairobi City Stars
PWR 35
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (32%)
0-1 (27%)
0-2 (11%)
1-0 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
1-2 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk39%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 44% at home = very high riskBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 4/9 draws (44%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskCombined DR 78% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.0
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Nzoia Sugar FC Form
WLLDL
STABLE
Nairobi City S… Form
WLDDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.511%
BTTS15%
Under 2.589%
Nzoia Sugar… Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Nairobi Cit… Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 2.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.4
Over 3.55%
BTTS Yes24%
Home Clean Sheet53%
Away Clean Sheet48%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (25%)
1-0 (19%)
0-1 (16%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (7%)
0-2 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Nzoia Sugar FCvs
0.85
Nairobi City S…Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum43%
Standings52%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Nzoia Sugar…+1
Gap#10
Nairobi Cit…
WR 33% 28 pts
WR 33% 28 pts
Nzoia Sugar FC
6.0%
| Feb 20 | Nzoia S… v Vihiga … | 0-4 |
| Feb 15 | Nzoia S… v Gucha S… | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | Nzoia S… v Equity … | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Nzoia S… v MOFA | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Nzoia S… v Soy Uni… | 0-2 |
| Jan 12 | Nzoia S… v Darajan… | 1-4 |
| Dec 22 | Nzoia S… v Migori … | 1-0 |
| Dec 17 | Nzoia S… v Luanda … | 0-0 |
| Dec 12 | Nzoia S… v Kabati … | 0-0 |
| Dec 07 | Nzoia S… v Naivas | 0-1 |
Nairobi City S…
10.0%
| Feb 21 | Nairobi… v Fortune… | 3-2 |
| Feb 15 | Nairobi… v Migori … | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Nairobi… v Naivas | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Nairobi… v 3K | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Nairobi… v Kisumu … | 1-1 |
| Jan 10 | Nairobi… v Gucha S… | 2-2 |
| Dec 21 | Nairobi… v Soy Uni… | 1-1 |
| Dec 17 | Nairobi… v Vihiga … | 0-3 |
| Dec 12 | Nairobi… v Equity … | 2-0 |
| Dec 07 | Nairobi… v MCF | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Nov 29, 2025 | Nairobi City … | 1-1 | Nzoia Sugar FC |
| May 19, 2024 | Nzoia Sugar FC | 0-0 | Nairobi City … |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Nairobi City … | 2-1 | Nzoia Sugar FC |
| Jun 03, 2023 | Nairobi City … | 2-3 | Nzoia Sugar FC |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Nzoia Sugar FC | 1-0 | Nairobi City … |
| Feb 13, 2022 | Nzoia Sugar FC | 1-1 | Nairobi City … |
| Dec 08, 2021 | Nairobi City … | 0-0 | Nzoia Sugar FC |
| Jun 25, 2021 | Nzoia Sugar FC | 0-1 | Nairobi City … |
| Nov 29, 2020 | Nairobi City … | 2-0 | Nzoia Sugar FC |
Key Factors
Nzoia Sugar FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.