Liga Premier Serie A · Mar 03, 2026 02:05
Celaya
PWR 35
Celaya
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Chapulineros
PWR 35
PWR 35
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
Celaya Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
68%
Confidence
GOLD
Stability GOLD
Stability GOLD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (11%)
2-0 (7%)
3-1 (5%)
1-0 (3%)
2-1 (3%)
1-1 (1%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 68%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy73%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANTPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (24.2%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Celaya Form
LDDWW
STABLE
Chapulineros Form
DLDLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS34%
Under 2.543%
Celaya Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Chapulineros Goals
0
66%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 3.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.4
Over 3.522%
BTTS Yes33%
Home Clean Sheet61%
Away Clean Sheet15%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (17%)
2-0 (17%)
3-0 (11%)
0-0 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Celayavs
0.42
ChapulinerosDecision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings74%
Market50%
League Standings
#2
Celaya+7
Gap#9
Chapulineros
WR 80% 41 pts
WR 20% 21 pts
Celaya
12.0%
| Feb 22 | Celaya v Racing … | 4-0 |
| Feb 15 | Celaya v Tapachu… | 2-2 |
| Feb 07 | Celaya v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Celaya v Neza | 6-0 |
| Jan 24 | Celaya v Mexical… | 0-2 |
| Jan 18 | Celaya v Cañoner… | 3-0 |
| Jan 10 | Celaya v Pionero… | 0-2 |
| Nov 23 | Celaya v Jaguare… | 0-1 |
| Nov 16 | Celaya v Montañe… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Celaya v Inter P… | 0-2 |
Chapulineros
6.0%
| Feb 13 | Chapuli… v Racing … | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Chapuli… v Tapachu… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Chapuli… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Chapuli… v Neza | 3-2 |
| Jan 17 | Chapuli… v Mexical… | 0-0 |
| Jan 10 | Chapuli… v Cañoner… | 1-2 |
| Nov 22 | Chapuli… v Pionero… | 0-2 |
| Nov 15 | Chapuli… v Jaguare… | 2-2 |
| Nov 09 | Chapuli… v Montañe… | 2-1 |
| Oct 25 | Chapuli… v Inter P… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 11, 2025 | Chapulineros | 0-0 | Celaya |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.