Premier League · Mar 03, 2026 19:30

Leeds
PWR 30
0 - 1
FT

Sunderland
PWR 35
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
Leeds Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)H2H: 5/8 draws (62%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 60% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (34.0%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense48
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.8
Attack34
Defense68
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.1
Leeds Form LDDDW
STABLE
Sunderland Form DLWLL
STABLE
Key Players
Leeds No player data
Sunderland
Chemsdine Talbi 7.91G
Habib Diarra 8.31G
Reinildo Mandava 7.51A
Nordi Mukiele 6.9
Daniel Ballard 7.6
Score & Markets
Over 2.540%
BTTS39%
Under 2.560%
Leeds Goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Sunderland Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 91% 9% OVER
1.5 70% 30% OVER
2.5 44% 56% -
3.5 23% 77% UNDER
4.5 10% 90% UNDER
5.5 4% 96% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.4
Over 3.523%
BTTS Yes48%
Home Clean Sheet37%
Away Clean Sheet24%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (13%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (9%) 0-1 (9%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Leeds
vs
0.66
Sunderland
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings42%
Market54%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#15
Leeds
-4
Gap
#11
Sunderland
WR 40% 31 pts WR 20% 40 pts
Leeds 10.0%
Feb 28 Leeds v Manches… 0-1
Feb 21 Leeds v Aston V… 1-1
Feb 15 Leeds v Birming… 1-1
Feb 10 Leeds v Chelsea 2-2
Feb 06 Leeds v Notting… 3-1
Jan 31 Leeds v Arsenal 0-4
Jan 26 Leeds v Everton 1-1
Jan 17 Leeds v Fulham 1-0
Jan 11 Leeds v Derby 1-3
Jan 07 Leeds v Newcast… 4-3
Sunderland 6.0%
Feb 28 Sunderl… v Bournem… 1-1
Feb 22 Sunderl… v Fulham 1-3
Feb 15 Sunderl… v Oxford … 0-1
Feb 11 Sunderl… v Liverpo… 0-1
Feb 07 Sunderl… v Arsenal 3-0
Feb 02 Sunderl… v Burnley 3-0
Jan 24 Sunderl… v West Ham 3-1
Jan 17 Sunderl… v Crystal… 2-1
Jan 10 Sunderl… v Everton 1-1
Jan 07 Sunderl… v Brentfo… 3-0
Head-to-Head (8)
Dec 28, 2025 Sunderland 1-1 Leeds
Feb 17, 2025 Leeds 2-1 Sunderland
Oct 04, 2024 Sunderland 2-2 Leeds
Oct 04, 2024 Sunderland 2-2 Leeds
Apr 09, 2024 Leeds 0-0 Sunderland
Apr 09, 2024 Leeds 0-0 Sunderland
Dec 12, 2023 Sunderland 1-0 Leeds
Dec 12, 2023 Sunderland 1-0 Leeds
Key Factors
Sunderland struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.