Premier League · Mar 03, 2026 19:30

Bournemouth
PWR 34
0 - 0
FT

Brentford
PWR 37
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Brentford to win (87% confidence)
Prediction
1-2
Score
87%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-2 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 2-3 (5%) 3-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
WRONG - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 47% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.0
Power & Form
Attack50
Defense46
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.8
Attack45
Defense60
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.3
Bournemouth Form DDWDW
STABLE
Brentford Form WLWDW
STABLE
Key Players
Bournemouth No player data
Brentford
Dango Ouattara 7.91G
Caoimhin Kelleher 7.9
Kristoffer Ajer 7.6
Sepp van den Berg 7.2
Michael Kayode 7.2
Score & Markets
Over 2.575%
BTTS78%
Under 2.525%
Bournemouth Goals
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Brentford Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
11%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 92% 8% OVER
1.5 71% 29% OVER
2.5 45% 55% -
3.5 24% 76% UNDER
4.5 11% 89% UNDER
5.5 4% 96% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.5
Over 3.524%
BTTS Yes46%
Home Clean Sheet43%
Away Clean Sheet19%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Bournemouth
vs
2.16
Brentford
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings46%
Market43%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Bournemouth
-2
Gap
#7
Brentford
WR 40% 40 pts WR 40% 44 pts
Bournemouth 14.0%
Feb 28 Bournem… v Sunderl… 1-1
Feb 21 Bournem… v West Ham 0-0
Feb 10 Bournem… v Everton 1-2
Feb 07 Bournem… v Aston V… 1-1
Jan 31 Bournem… v Wolves 0-2
Jan 24 Bournem… v Liverpo… 3-2
Jan 19 Bournem… v Brighton 1-1
Jan 10 Bournem… v Newcast… 2-2
Jan 07 Bournem… v Tottenh… 3-2
Jan 03 Bournem… v Arsenal 2-3
Brentford 14.0%
Feb 28 Brentfo… v Burnley 3-4
Feb 21 Brentfo… v Brighton 0-2
Feb 16 Brentfo… v Maccles… 0-1
Feb 12 Brentfo… v Arsenal 1-1
Feb 07 Brentfo… v Newcast… 2-3
Feb 01 Brentfo… v Aston V… 0-1
Jan 25 Brentfo… v Notting… 0-2
Jan 17 Brentfo… v Chelsea 2-0
Jan 10 Brentfo… v Sheffie… 0-2
Jan 10 Brentfo… v AFC Fyl… 2-2
Head-to-Head (10)
Dec 27, 2025 Brentford 4-1 Bournemouth
Aug 26, 2025 Bournemouth 0-2 Brentford
Mar 15, 2025 Bournemouth 1-2 Brentford
Nov 09, 2024 Brentford 3-2 Bournemouth
Nov 09, 2024 Brentford 3-2 Bournemouth
May 11, 2024 Bournemouth 1-2 Brentford
May 11, 2024 Bournemouth 1-2 Brentford
Sep 02, 2023 Brentford 2-2 Bournemouth
Jan 14, 2023 Brentford 2-0 Bournemouth
Oct 01, 2022 Bournemouth 0-0 Brentford
Key Factors
Brentford in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.