Serie B · Mar 03, 2026 18:00
Padova
PWR 32
Spezia
PWR 30
Padova
PWR 32
2 - 2
FT
Spezia
PWR 30
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Padova to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (20%)
2-0 (14%)
0-0 (14%)
1-1 (11%)
2-1 (8%)
0-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
WRONG - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 79% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Power & Form
Attack29
Defense63
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.2
Attack26
Defense60
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.3
Padova Form
WDLWD
STABLE
Spezia Form
LWLDD
STABLE
Key Players
Padova
Mattia Bortolussi
7.21G
Luca Di Maggio
7.3
Pietro Fusi
7.7
Jonas Harder
6.6
Alessandro Sorren…
7.3
Spezia
No player data
Score & Markets
Over 2.531%
BTTS33%
Under 2.569%
Padova Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4
4%
Spezia Goals
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 81% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.3
Over 3.520%
BTTS Yes43%
Home Clean Sheet43%
Away Clean Sheet24%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (15%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (11%)
0-0 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
0-1 (9%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Padovavs
0.56
SpeziaDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings62%
Market50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Padova+8
Gap#18
Spezia
WR 21% 34 pts
WR 21% 26 pts
Padova
12.0%
| Feb 28 | Padova v Modena | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Padova v Bari | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Padova v Sampdor… | 1-0 |
| Feb 10 | Padova v Carrare… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Padova v Juve St… | 3-3 |
| Feb 01 | Padova v Monza | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | Padova v Sudtirol | 3-0 |
| Jan 17 | Padova v Mantova | 1-2 |
| Jan 11 | Padova v Modena | 2-0 |
| Dec 27 | Padova v Palermo | 1-0 |
Spezia
8.0%
| Feb 28 | Spezia v Reggian… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Spezia v Cesena | 2-3 |
| Feb 15 | Spezia v Frosino… | 0-2 |
| Feb 11 | Spezia v Bari | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Spezia v Virtus … | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Spezia v Sampdor… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Spezia v Avellino | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Spezia v Palermo | 1-0 |
| Jan 10 | Spezia v Sudtirol | 2-1 |
| Dec 27 | Spezia v Pescara | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 29, 2025 | Spezia | 1-1 | Padova |
| Jul 27, 2022 | Padova | 1-5 | Spezia |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.