3. Liga · Mar 04, 2026 18:00

FC Ingolstadt 04
PWR 49
2-2
predicted

MSV Duisburg
PWR 14
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
FC Ingolstadt 04 Win
Prediction
2-2
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskCombined DR 64% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.2%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack100
Defense40
Goals/G4.0
Conc/G2.0
Attack0
Defense40
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G2.0
FC Ingolstadt … Form LWWDL
STABLE
MSV Duisburg Form DWLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.568%
BTTS62%
Under 2.532%
FC Ingolsta… Goals
0
5%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
MSV Duisburg Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 97% 3% OVER
1.5 86% 14% OVER
2.5 68% 32% OVER
3.5 46% 54% -
4.5 28% 73% UNDER
5.5 14% 86% UNDER
6.5 7% 94% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total3.5
Over 3.546%
BTTS Yes63%
Home Clean Sheet31%
Away Clean Sheet10%
Top Correct Scores:
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.92
FC Ingolstadt …
vs
1.06
MSV Duisburg
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum92%
Standings34%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
FC Ingolsta…
-8
Gap
#3
MSV Duisburg
WR 42% 36 pts WR 31% 47 pts
FC Ingolstadt … 10.0%
Feb 28 FC Ingo… v SV Wehen 2-1
Feb 21 FC Ingo… v Havelse 3-2
Feb 15 FC Ingo… v Anderna… 3-2
Feb 15 FC Ingo… v FC Schw… 1-1
Feb 08 FC Ingo… v Warbeyen 1-2
Feb 07 FC Ingo… v Energie… 0-0
Feb 01 FC Ingo… v Viktori… 0-1
Jan 31 FC Ingo… v Hansa R… 0-3
Jan 24 FC Ingo… v Stuttga… 2-1
Jan 16 FC Ingo… v Jahn Re… 0-3
MSV Duisburg 10.0%
Mar 01 MSV Dui… v Havelse 1-1
Feb 21 MSV Dui… v FC Schw… 3-1
Feb 14 MSV Dui… v SV Wehen 6-1
Feb 08 MSV Dui… v Verl 4-2
Feb 01 MSV Dui… v SSV Ulm… 1-0
Jan 24 MSV Dui… v Jahn Re… 2-0
Jan 18 MSV Dui… v Stuttga… 0-4
Dec 21 MSV Dui… v FC Vikt… 0-0
Dec 13 MSV Dui… v Erzgebi… 0-0
Dec 06 MSV Dui… v Energie… 3-2
Head-to-Head (7)
Sep 27, 2025 MSV Duisburg 2-1 FC Ingolstadt…
Apr 20, 2024 FC Ingolstadt… 2-0 MSV Duisburg
Nov 11, 2023 MSV Duisburg 1-2 FC Ingolstadt…
May 12, 2023 FC Ingolstadt… 2-0 MSV Duisburg
Nov 12, 2022 MSV Duisburg 0-1 FC Ingolstadt…
May 15, 2021 MSV Duisburg 1-5 FC Ingolstadt…
Jan 10, 2021 FC Ingolstadt… 2-1 MSV Duisburg
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.