3. Liga · Mar 04, 2026 18:00

FC Ingolstadt 04
PWR 49

MSV Duisburg
PWR 14

FC Ingolstadt 04
PWR 49
2-2
predicted

MSV Duisburg
PWR 14
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
FC Ingolstadt 04 Win
Prediction
2-2
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
2-0 (8%)
3-0 (8%)
1-1 (6%)
1-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskCombined DR 64% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.2%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack100
Defense40
Goals/G4.0
Conc/G2.0
Attack0
Defense40
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G2.0
FC Ingolstadt ⦠Form
LWWDL
STABLE
MSV Duisburg Form
DWLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.568%
BTTS62%
Under 2.532%
FC Ingolsta⦠Goals
0
5%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
MSV Duisburg Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 4.5 | 28% | 73% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 94% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.5
Over 3.546%
BTTS Yes63%
Home Clean Sheet31%
Away Clean Sheet10%
Top Correct Scores:
2-1 (10%)
1-1 (8%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1-0 (7%)
3-0 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.92
FC Ingolstadt ā¦vs
1.06
MSV DuisburgDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum92%
Standings34%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
FC Ingolstaā¦-8
Gap#3
MSV Duisburg
WR 42% 36 pts
WR 31% 47 pts
FC Ingolstadt ā¦
10.0%
| Feb 28 | FC Ingo⦠v SV Wehen | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | FC Ingo⦠v Havelse | 3-2 |
| Feb 15 | FC Ingo⦠v Anderna⦠| 3-2 |
| Feb 15 | FC Ingo⦠v FC Schw⦠| 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | FC Ingo⦠v Warbeyen | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | FC Ingo⦠v Energie⦠| 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | FC Ingo⦠v Viktori⦠| 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | FC Ingo⦠v Hansa R⦠| 0-3 |
| Jan 24 | FC Ingo⦠v Stuttga⦠| 2-1 |
| Jan 16 | FC Ingo⦠v Jahn Re⦠| 0-3 |
MSV Duisburg
10.0%
| Mar 01 | MSV Dui⦠v Havelse | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | MSV Dui⦠v FC Schw⦠| 3-1 |
| Feb 14 | MSV Dui⦠v SV Wehen | 6-1 |
| Feb 08 | MSV Dui⦠v Verl | 4-2 |
| Feb 01 | MSV Dui⦠v SSV Ulm⦠| 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | MSV Dui⦠v Jahn Re⦠| 2-0 |
| Jan 18 | MSV Dui⦠v Stuttga⦠| 0-4 |
| Dec 21 | MSV Dui⦠v FC Vikt⦠| 0-0 |
| Dec 13 | MSV Dui⦠v Erzgebi⦠| 0-0 |
| Dec 06 | MSV Dui⦠v Energie⦠| 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Sep 27, 2025 | MSV Duisburg | 2-1 | FC Ingolstadt⦠|
| Apr 20, 2024 | FC Ingolstadt⦠| 2-0 | MSV Duisburg |
| Nov 11, 2023 | MSV Duisburg | 1-2 | FC Ingolstadt⦠|
| May 12, 2023 | FC Ingolstadt⦠| 2-0 | MSV Duisburg |
| Nov 12, 2022 | MSV Duisburg | 0-1 | FC Ingolstadt⦠|
| May 15, 2021 | MSV Duisburg | 1-5 | FC Ingolstadt⦠|
| Jan 10, 2021 | FC Ingolstadt⦠| 2-1 | MSV Duisburg |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.