Premier League · Mar 04, 2026 19:30
Brighton & Hove Albion
PWR 36
Arsenal
PWR 48
Brighton & Hove Albion
PWR 36
0 - 1
FT
Arsenal
PWR 48
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Arsenal Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
55%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)
CORRECT 0-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.47x
DC X2
81%
Away/Draw
1.29x
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
63%
BTTS
No 43%
Over 3.5
26%
Team Comparison
43Attack58
60Defense79
Goals/G
1.41.9
Conc/G
1.30.7
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Brighton & Hov…
DWLWD
STABLE
Arsenal
WWDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 40% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 71% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (31.7%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Brighton & Hov…vs
0.89
ArsenalGoal Probability
Brighton & …
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Arsenal
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (15%)0-2 (14%)1-1 (10%)0-3 (9%)1-2 (9%)0-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Brighton & …-13
Gap#1
Arsenal
WR 40% 37 pts
WR 56% 67 pts
Brighton & Hov…
12.0%
| Mar 03 | Brighto… v Exeter … | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Brighto… v Notting… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Brighto… v Wycombe | 3-0 |
| Feb 24 | Brighto… v Stockpo… | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Brighto… v Bolton | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Brighto… v Brentfo… | 0-2 |
| Feb 17 | Brighto… v Rotherh… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Brighto… v Liverpo… | 3-0 |
| Feb 11 | Brighto… v Aston V… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Brighto… v Crystal… | 0-1 |
Arsenal
16.0%
| Mar 01 | Arsenal v Chelsea | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Arsenal v Tottenh… | 1-4 |
| Feb 18 | Arsenal v Wolves | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Arsenal v Wigan | 4-0 |
| Feb 12 | Arsenal v Brentfo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Arsenal v Sunderl… | 3-0 |
| Feb 03 | Arsenal v Chelsea | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Arsenal v Leeds | 0-4 |
| Jan 28 | Arsenal v Kairat … | 3-2 |
| Jan 25 | Arsenal v Manches… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 27, 2025 | Arsenal | 2-1 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Arsenal | 2-0 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Jan 04, 2025 | Brighton & Ho… | 1-1 | Arsenal |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Arsenal | 1-1 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Brighton & Ho… | 0-3 | Arsenal |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Arsenal | 2-0 | Brighton & Ho… |
| May 14, 2023 | Arsenal | 0-3 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Dec 31, 2022 | Brighton & Ho… | 2-4 | Arsenal |
| Nov 09, 2022 | Arsenal | 1-3 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Apr 09, 2022 | Arsenal | 1-2 | Brighton & Ho… |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
65%
Standings
30%
Market
35%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Arsenal in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.