Ligue 1 · Mar 01, 2026 16:00

SONABEL
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
USFA
PWR 35
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (11%) 0-0 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 60% at home = very high riskBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateH2H: 5/9 draws (56%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 87% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
SONABEL Form DDWLD
STABLE
USFA Form WLWDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.544%
BTTS33%
Under 2.556%
SONABEL Goals
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
USFA Goals
0
61%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 81% 19% OVER
1.5 49% 51% -
2.5 23% 77% UNDER
3.5 9% 91% UNDER
4.5 3% 97% UNDER
5.5 1% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total1.7
Over 3.59%
BTTS Yes32%
Home Clean Sheet43%
Away Clean Sheet44%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (19%) 0-1 (16%) 1-0 (16%) 1-1 (13%) 0-2 (7%) 2-0 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
SONABEL
vs
0.49
USFA
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum87%
Standings36%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
SONABEL
-7
Gap
#2
USFA
WR 30% 27 pts WR 46% 37 pts
SONABEL 10.0%
Feb 22 SONABEL v Salitas… 0-0
Feb 15 SONABEL v Sportin… 1-1
Feb 05 SONABEL v Réal du… 1-0
Jan 31 SONABEL v AJEB 4-0
Jan 25 SONABEL v Etoile … 0-0
Dec 26 SONABEL v Etoile … 1-2
Dec 18 SONABEL v AJEB 2-0
Dec 13 SONABEL v Réal du… 1-2
Dec 06 SONABEL v Sportin… 2-1
Nov 30 SONABEL v Salitas… 1-1
USFA 12.0%
Feb 22 USFA v Etoile … 2-0
Feb 15 USFA v ASFA-Ye… 2-0
Feb 06 USFA v ASFB 2-4
Feb 01 USFA v Douanes 2-2
Jan 26 USFA v Vitesse 0-0
Dec 27 USFA v Vitesse 1-0
Dec 23 USFA v CFFEB 0-0
Dec 19 USFA v Douanes 2-1
Dec 12 USFA v ASFB 1-0
Dec 07 USFA v ASFA-Ye… 0-1
Head-to-Head (9)
Nov 24, 2025 USFA 2-0 SONABEL
Jun 15, 2025 SONABEL 0-0 USFA
Oct 11, 2024 USFA 2-3 SONABEL
Apr 17, 2024 SONABEL 1-1 USFA
Jan 10, 2024 USFA 1-1 SONABEL
Jan 13, 2023 SONABEL 1-1 USFA
Dec 22, 2022 USFA 0-1 SONABEL
Mar 13, 2022 SONABEL 1-1 USFA
Dec 13, 2021 USFA 0-1 SONABEL
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.