Liga MX · Mar 04, 2026 03:10
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
PWR 35
Toluca
PWR 35
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
Toluca
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Toluca to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (56%)
1-0 (21%)
0-1 (11%)
1-1 (4%)
2-0 (4%)
0-2 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk40%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 6/10 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 50% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 100% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
U.N.A.M. - Pum… Form
DWWWD
STABLE
Toluca Form
WWWDD
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.52%
BTTS6%
Under 2.598%
U.N.A.M. - … Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Toluca Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 2.5 | 28% | 73% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.8
Over 3.511%
BTTS Yes36%
Home Clean Sheet41%
Away Clean Sheet40%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (16%)
1-0 (15%)
0-1 (15%)
1-1 (13%)
2-0 (7%)
0-2 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.38
U.N.A.M. - Pum…vs
0.20
TolucaDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
U.N.A.M. - …-2
Gap#2
Toluca
WR 50% 16 pts
WR 50% 18 pts
U.N.A.M. - Pum…
16.0%
| Feb 28 | U.N.A.M… v Club Ti… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | U.N.A.M… v Monterr… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | U.N.A.M… v Puebla | 2-3 |
| Feb 11 | U.N.A.M… v San Die… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | U.N.A.M… v Atlas | 2-2 |
| Feb 04 | U.N.A.M… v San Die… | 4-1 |
| Jan 31 | U.N.A.M… v Santos … | 4-0 |
| Jan 18 | U.N.A.M… v León FC | 1-1 |
| Jan 15 | U.N.A.M… v Tigres … | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | U.N.A.M… v Queréta… | 1-1 |
Toluca
16.0%
| Feb 28 | Toluca v Guadala… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Toluca v Necaxa | 0-3 |
| Feb 14 | Toluca v Club Ti… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Toluca v Cruz Az… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Toluca v Puebla | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Toluca v Tigres … | 0-0 |
| Jan 15 | Toluca v Santos … | 3-1 |
| Jan 11 | Toluca v Monterr… | 0-1 |
| Dec 15 | Toluca v Tigres … | 2-1 |
| Dec 12 | Toluca v Tigres … | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Aug 17, 2025 | Toluca | 1-1 | U.N.A.M. - Pu… |
| Jan 30, 2025 | U.N.A.M. - Pu… | 1-1 | Toluca |
| Oct 06, 2024 | Toluca | 1-1 | U.N.A.M. - Pu… |
| Mar 18, 2024 | Toluca | 3-0 | U.N.A.M. - Pu… |
| Aug 19, 2023 | U.N.A.M. - Pu… | 1-1 | Toluca |
| Apr 16, 2023 | U.N.A.M. - Pu… | 3-1 | Toluca |
| Dec 14, 2022 | U.N.A.M. - Pu… | 1-1 | Toluca |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Toluca | 2-2 | U.N.A.M. - Pu… |
| Jan 11, 2022 | U.N.A.M. - Pu… | 5-0 | Toluca |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Toluca | 1-2 | U.N.A.M. - Pu… |
Key Factors
U.N.A.M. - Pumas in strong form (3W in last 5)
Toluca in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.