Paulista - A4 · Mar 04, 2026 18:00
São Caetano
PWR 35
Comercial
PWR 35
São Caetano
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Comercial
PWR 35
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: São Caetano to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (25%)
2-0 (19%)
0-0 (17%)
3-0 (9%)
1-1 (7%)
2-1 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
São Caetano Form
WDLDW
STABLE
Comercial Form
LWLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.526%
BTTS19%
Under 2.574%
São Caetano Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Comercial Goals
0
75%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 2.5 | 15% | 86% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.3
Over 3.55%
BTTS Yes21%
Home Clean Sheet65%
Away Clean Sheet41%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (27%)
1-0 (24%)
0-1 (12%)
2-0 (10%)
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
São Caetanovs
0.29
ComercialDecision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum83%
Standings70%
Market50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
São Caetano+5
Gap#12
Comercial
WR 50% 11 pts
WR 33% 4 pts
São Caetano
12.0%
| Feb 28 | São Cae… v AEA | 1-3 |
| Feb 25 | São Cae… v ECUS | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | São Cae… v Penapol… | 0-2 |
| Feb 14 | São Cae… v Joseense | 0-0 |
| Feb 11 | São Cae… v Naciona… | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | São Cae… v Jabaqua… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | São Cae… v Inter d… | 2-0 |
| Aug 30 | São Cae… v Grêmio … | 2-0 |
| Aug 23 | São Cae… v Grêmio … | 0-0 |
| Aug 16 | São Cae… v Taubaté | 3-0 |
Comercial
4.0%
| Feb 28 | Comerci… v EC Leme… | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Comerci… v Colorad… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Comerci… v Barretos | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Comerci… v Grêmio … | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | Comerci… v Taquari… | 0-1 |
| Feb 03 | Comerci… v Penapol… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Comerci… v ECUS | 1-1 |
| Oct 26 | Comerci… v CorÃ-Sa… | 2-1 |
| Oct 23 | Comerci… v CorÃ-Sa… | 0-0 |
| Sep 27 | Comerci… v XV de P… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Feb 18, 2023 | São Caetano | 1-2 | Comercial |
Key Factors
Comercial struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.