Super Copa · Feb 01, 2026 23:00
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 56
Club Nacional
PWR 35
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 56
0 - 0
FT
Club Nacional
PWR 35
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
Peñarol Montevideo Win
Prediction
1-0
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (35%)
1-0 (20%)
0-1 (17%)
1-1 (10%)
2-0 (6%)
0-2 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.7%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack18
Defense100
Goals/G0.5
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Peñarol Montev… Form
DDWDD
STABLE
Club Nacional Form
WDDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.59%
BTTS17%
Under 2.591%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
56%
1
33%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Club Nacion… Goals
0
62%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 1.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.0
Over 3.52%
BTTS Yes15%
Home Clean Sheet68%
Away Clean Sheet53%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (36%)
1-0 (23%)
0-1 (14%)
1-1 (9%)
2-0 (7%)
2-1 (3%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
Peñarol Montev…vs
0.48
Club NacionalDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Peñarol Mon…+1
Gap#2
Club Nacion…
WR 50% 4 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peñarol Montevi… | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Club Nacional | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Peñarol Montev…
12.0%
| Jan 23 | Peñarol… v Boston … | 2-2 |
| Jan 22 | Peñarol… v Colo-Co… | 1-1 |
| Jan 20 | Peñarol… v Racing … | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Peñarol… v River P… | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Peñarol… v River P… | 0-0 |
| Jan 13 | Peñarol… v Albion … | 0-2 |
| Jan 13 | Peñarol… v Central… | 0-0 |
| Nov 30 | Peñarol… v Club Na… | 1-0 |
| Nov 23 | Peñarol… v Club Na… | 2-2 |
| Nov 16 | Peñarol… v Peñarol… | 1-2 |
Club Nacional
14.0%
| Jan 25 | Club Na… v Concepc… | 1-0 |
| Jan 22 | Club Na… v Progreso | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | Club Na… v Cerro L… | 1-1 |
| Jan 14 | Club Na… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| Nov 30 | Club Na… v Peñarol… | 1-0 |
| Nov 23 | Club Na… v Peñarol… | 2-2 |
| Nov 09 | Club Na… v Defenso… | 1-1 |
| Nov 01 | Club Na… v Cerrito | 0-0 |
| Oct 26 | Club Na… v Rangers… | 0-0 |
| Oct 18 | Club Na… v Miramar | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 30, 2025 | Club Nacional | 1-0 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-2 | Club Nacional |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Club Nacional | 3-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Aug 09, 2025 | Peñarol Monte… | 3-0 | Club Nacional |
| Jul 06, 2025 | Peñarol Monte… | 0-0 | Club Nacional |
| Feb 09, 2025 | Club Nacional | 1-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-1 | Club Nacional |
| Oct 06, 2024 | Club Nacional | 2-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Aug 04, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-1 | Club Nacional |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Club Nacional | 2-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.