DFB Pokal · Feb 03, 2026 19:45
Bayer Leverkusen
PWR 42
FC St. Pauli
PWR 35
Bayer Leverkusen
PWR 42
3 - 0
FT
FC St. Pauli
PWR 35
59% H
22% D
19% A
Final Verdict
Bayer Leverkusen Win
Prediction
5-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (12%)
2-0 (12%)
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
3-0 (7%)
0-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)H2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.1%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack60
Defense59
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.4
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Bayer Leverkus… Form
WWWLL
UP
FC St. Pauli Form
LDDLL
STABLE
Key Players
Bayer Leverkusen
Alejandro Grimaldo
6.81G2A
Aleix GarcĂa
7.31G1A
Martin Terrier
7.31G
Malik Tillman
7.11G
Ibrahim Maza
7.31A
FC St. Pauli
Eric Smith
7.01G2A
Danel Sinani
6.81G
James Sands
6.81G
Adam Dźwigała
6.81A
Mathias Pereira L…
6.8
Score & Markets
Over 2.550%
BTTS48%
Under 2.550%
Bayer Lever… Goals
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
FC St. Pauli Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 3.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.3
Over 3.541%
BTTS Yes33%
Home Clean Sheet65%
Away Clean Sheet6%
Top Correct Scores:
2-0 (15%)
3-0 (15%)
1-0 (11%)
4-0 (10%)
2-1 (7%)
3-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Bayer Leverkus…vs
0.84
FC St. PauliDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings50%
Market66%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Bayer Lever…+17
Gap#19
FC St. Pauli
WR 91% 30 pts
WR 33% 8 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 9 | 30 |
| FC St. Pauli | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 8 |
Bayer Leverkus…
12.0%
| Jan 31 | Bayer L… v Eintrac… | 1-3 |
| Jan 28 | Bayer L… v Villarr… | 3-0 |
| Jan 24 | Bayer L… v Werder … | 1-0 |
| Jan 20 | Bayer L… v Olympia… | 2-0 |
| Jan 17 | Bayer L… v 1899 Ho… | 1-0 |
| Jan 10 | Bayer L… v VfB Stu… | 1-4 |
| Dec 20 | Bayer L… v RasenBa… | 1-3 |
| Dec 13 | Bayer L… v FC Koln | 2-0 |
| Dec 10 | Bayer L… v Newcast… | 2-2 |
| Dec 06 | Bayer L… v FC Augs… | 2-0 |
FC St. Pauli
4.0%
| Jan 31 | FC St. … v FC Augs… | 2-1 |
| Jan 27 | FC St. … v RasenBa… | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | FC St. … v Hamburg… | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | FC St. … v Borussi… | 3-2 |
| Jan 14 | FC St. … v VfL Wol… | 2-1 |
| Jan 04 | FC St. … v Werder … | 0-0 |
| Dec 21 | FC St. … v FSV Mai… | 0-0 |
| Dec 13 | FC St. … v FC Heid… | 2-1 |
| Dec 06 | FC St. … v FC Koln | 1-1 |
| Dec 02 | FC St. … v Borussi… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Sep 27, 2025 | FC St. Pauli | 1-2 | Bayer Leverku… |
| Apr 20, 2025 | FC St. Pauli | 1-1 | Bayer Leverku… |
| Dec 07, 2024 | Bayer Leverku… | 2-1 | FC St. Pauli |
| Dec 07, 2024 | Bayer Leverku… | 2-1 | FC St. Pauli |
Key Factors
Bayer Leverkusen in strong form (3W in last 5)
FC St. Pauli struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.