Premier League · Mar 05, 2026 19:30
El Mokawloon
PWR 35
Al Ahly
PWR 35
El Mokawloon
PWR 35
1 - 3
FT
Al Ahly
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Al Ahly Win
Score
1-3
Confidence
55%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (41%)0-1 (19%)1-0 (17%)1-1 (8%)0-2 (5%)2-0 (3%)
CORRECT 1-3
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.83x
DC X2
87%
Away/Draw
1.21x
Over 2.5
6%
Under 2.5
94%
94%
BTTS
No
No 13%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
El Mokawloon
DDWLW
STABLE
Al Ahly
DWWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAPAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 50% at home = very high riskH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 56% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 106% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (34.5%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.41
El Mokawloonvs
0.47
Al AhlyGoal Probability
El Mokawloon
0
66%
1
27%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Al Ahly
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (17%)1-0 (16%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 2.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
El Mokawloon-14
Gap#3
Al Ahly
WR 0% 18 pts
WR 44% 40 pts
El Mokawloon
12.0%
| Feb 23 | El Moka… v El Gouna | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | El Moka… v Al-Masr… | 1-1 |
| Feb 05 | El Moka… v Wadi De… | 0-1 |
| Jan 30 | El Moka… v Nationa… | 0-1 |
| Jan 22 | El Moka… v Ismaily… | 1-2 |
| Jan 15 | El Moka… v Cerâmic… | 1-0 |
| Jan 12 | El Moka… v Enppi | 1-2 |
| Jan 05 | El Moka… v Ghazl E… | 1-1 |
| Dec 30 | El Moka… v Al Ahly | 0-3 |
| Dec 24 | El Moka… v El Geish | 0-0 |
Al Ahly
16.0%
| Feb 28 | Al Ahly v Al-Masr… | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Al Ahly v Smouha … | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | Al Ahly v El Gouna | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | Al Ahly v Ismaily… | 2-0 |
| Feb 03 | Al Ahly v Nationa… | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Al Ahly v Wadi De… | 3-1 |
| Dec 30 | Al Ahly v El Moka… | 0-3 |
| Nov 02 | Al Ahly v Al-Masr… | 0-0 |
| Oct 29 | Al Ahly v Petrojet | 1-1 |
| Oct 22 | Al Ahly v Al Itti… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 30, 2025 | Al Ahly | 0-3 | El Mokawloon |
| Aug 04, 2024 | Al Ahly | 4-0 | El Mokawloon |
| Nov 04, 2023 | El Mokawloon | 1-2 | Al Ahly |
| Jul 16, 2023 | El Mokawloon | 1-4 | Al Ahly |
| Mar 07, 2023 | Al Ahly | 2-1 | El Mokawloon |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Al Ahly | 1-1 | El Mokawloon |
| Jul 30, 2022 | El Mokawloon | 0-0 | Al Ahly |
| Jan 21, 2022 | Al Ahly | 1-1 | El Mokawloon |
| Nov 19, 2021 | Al Ahly | 1-0 | El Mokawloon |
| Jul 08, 2021 | El Mokawloon | 0-2 | Al Ahly |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
30%
Market
35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Al Ahly in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.