Federation Cup · Mar 03, 2026 08:45
Bangladesh Police
PWR 36
Bashundhara Kings
PWR 39
Bangladesh Police
PWR 36
1-1
predicted
Bashundhara Kings
PWR 39
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
2-0 (7%)
1-0 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
2-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.0
Power & Form
Attack26
Defense56
Goals/G0.8
Conc/G1.3
Attack35
Defense56
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.3
Bangladesh Pol… Form
WWDDW
STABLE
Bashundhara Ki… Form
DDLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.564%
BTTS64%
Under 2.536%
Bangladesh … Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Bashundhara… Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.5
Over 3.525%
BTTS Yes51%
Home Clean Sheet27%
Away Clean Sheet30%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (13%)
0-1 (11%)
1-0 (10%)
1-2 (8%)
0-0 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Bangladesh Pol…vs
1.28
Bashundhara Ki…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Bangladesh …+1
Gap#6
Bashundhara…
WR 25% 5 pts
WR 25% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangladesh Poli… | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| Bashundhara Kin… | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Bangladesh Pol…
16.0%
| Dec 26 | Banglad… v Arambagh | 0-3 |
| Dec 20 | Banglad… v Bashund… | 2-1 |
| Dec 13 | Banglad… v PWD Spo… | 0-0 |
| Dec 06 | Banglad… v Fakirer… | 1-1 |
| Dec 02 | Banglad… v Arambagh | 0-1 |
| Nov 28 | Banglad… v Abahani | 2-0 |
| Nov 24 | Banglad… v Fortis | 0-0 |
| Oct 19 | Banglad… v Mohamme… | 1-1 |
| May 27 | Banglad… v Rahmatg… | 4-1 |
| May 21 | Banglad… v Fortis | 1-1 |
Bashundhara Ki…
12.0%
| Dec 27 | Bashund… v Abahani | 2-2 |
| Dec 23 | Bashund… v Mohamme… | 0-0 |
| Dec 20 | Bashund… v Banglad… | 2-1 |
| Dec 12 | Bashund… v Mohamme… | 2-0 |
| Dec 05 | Bashund… v Brother… | 1-5 |
| Nov 29 | Bashund… v Rahmatg… | 5-0 |
| Nov 24 | Bashund… v Arambagh | 0-2 |
| Oct 31 | Bashund… v Al Kuwa… | 2-0 |
| Oct 28 | Bashund… v Al Ansar | 0-3 |
| Oct 25 | Bashund… v Al Seeb | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 20, 2025 | Bangladesh Po… | 2-1 | Bashundhara K… |
| May 16, 2025 | Bashundhara K… | 0-1 | Bangladesh Po… |
| Jan 03, 2025 | Bangladesh Po… | 0-5 | Bashundhara K… |
| Dec 31, 2024 | Bangladesh Po… | 2-3 | Bashundhara K… |
| May 18, 2024 | Bashundhara K… | 2-2 | Bangladesh Po… |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Bangladesh Po… | 0-3 | Bashundhara K… |
| May 12, 2023 | Bangladesh Po… | 2-1 | Bashundhara K… |
| Jan 13, 2023 | Bashundhara K… | 1-0 | Bangladesh Po… |
| May 12, 2022 | Bangladesh Po… | 1-2 | Bashundhara K… |
| Feb 17, 2022 | Bashundhara K… | 3-0 | Bangladesh Po… |
Key Factors
Bangladesh Police in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.