Primera A · Mar 07, 2026 21:00
Rionegro Aguilas
PWR 35
Atlético Nacional
PWR 35
Rionegro Aguilas
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Atlético Nacional
PWR 35
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%)
0-0 (16%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (12%)
0-1 (10%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Primera A
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Rionegro Aguil… Form
DWLWD
STABLE
Atlético Nacio… Form
LWWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.528%
BTTS33%
Under 2.572%
Rionegro Ag… Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Atlético Na… Goals
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 2.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.1
Over 3.517%
BTTS Yes39%
Home Clean Sheet24%
Away Clean Sheet49%
Top Correct Scores:
0-1 (17%)
0-2 (12%)
1-1 (12%)
0-0 (12%)
1-2 (9%)
1-0 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Rionegro Aguil…vs
0.63
Atlético Nacio…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum68%
Standings40%
Market50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Rionegro Ag…-5
Gap#5
Atlético Na…
WR 50% 12 pts
WR 33% 15 pts
Rionegro Aguil…
12.0%
| Mar 01 | Rionegr… v La Equi… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Rionegr… v Chico | 0-1 |
| Feb 11 | Rionegr… v Millona… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Rionegr… v Cúcuta … | 3-2 |
| Feb 02 | Rionegr… v Llaneros | 1-1 |
| Jan 29 | Rionegr… v Deporti… | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Rionegr… v Deporti… | 1-2 |
| Jan 19 | Rionegr… v Santa Fe | 1-1 |
| Nov 14 | Rionegr… v Deporte… | 1-2 |
| Nov 08 | Rionegr… v Atlétic… | 2-1 |
Atlético Nacio…
12.0%
| Mar 02 | Atlétic… v Deporte… | 1-0 |
| Feb 26 | Atlétic… v Santa Fe | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Atlétic… v Alianza… | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Atlétic… v Deporti… | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | Atlétic… v Fortale… | 4-1 |
| Feb 05 | Atlétic… v America… | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Atlétic… v Inter M… | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | Atlétic… v Chico | 4-0 |
| Dec 18 | Atlétic… v Indepen… | 0-1 |
| Dec 13 | Atlétic… v Indepen… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Nov 08, 2025 | Atlético Naci… | 2-1 | Rionegro Agui… |
| May 18, 2025 | Rionegro Agui… | 2-1 | Atlético Naci… |
| Aug 06, 2024 | Atlético Naci… | 1-1 | Rionegro Agui… |
| Jun 19, 2024 | Atlético Naci… | 2-2 | Rionegro Agui… |
| Feb 04, 2024 | Rionegro Agui… | 0-3 | Atlético Naci… |
Key Factors
Atlético Nacional in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.