FAW Championship · Mar 06, 2026 19:30
Newport City
PWR 51
PWR 51
2-1
predicted
Baglan Dragons
PWR 46
PWR 46
57% H
23% D
20% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Newport City to win (75% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
75%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (20%)
1-0 (17%)
3-0 (16%)
0-0 (7%)
2-1 (5%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Power & Form
Attack47
Defense64
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.0
Attack44
Defense62
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.1
Newport City Form
DWWLL
STABLE
Baglan Dragons Form
LLLLD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.545%
BTTS20%
Under 2.555%
Newport City Goals
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Baglan Drag… Goals
0
78%
1
20%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.5
Over 3.523%
BTTS Yes41%
Home Clean Sheet51%
Away Clean Sheet17%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (15%)
2-0 (14%)
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
0-0 (9%)
3-0 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.37
Newport Cityvs
0.25
Baglan DragonsDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#20
Newport City-1
Gap#19
Baglan Drag…
WR 41% 50 pts
WR 29% 52 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport City | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 50 |
| Baglan Dragons | 41 | 12 | 16 | 13 | 51 | 45 | 52 |
Newport City
10.0%
| Mar 01 | Newport… v Carmart… | 4-4 |
| Feb 20 | Newport… v Llantwi… | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Newport… v Afan Li… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Newport… v Aberyst… | 0-1 |
| Jan 23 | Newport… v Cambria… | 2-0 |
| Jan 09 | Newport… v Caerau … | 1-1 |
| Dec 27 | Newport… v Cwmbran… | 2-2 |
| Dec 10 | Newport… v Cardiff… | 2-1 |
| Dec 05 | Newport… v Pontypr… | 0-0 |
| Nov 29 | Newport… v Treowen… | 2-0 |
Baglan Dragons
2.0%
| Feb 21 | Baglan … v Pontypr… | 2-0 |
| Feb 17 | Baglan … v Trefelin | 3-0 |
| Feb 14 | Baglan … v Cardiff… | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Baglan … v Aberyst… | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Baglan … v Ynyshir… | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Baglan … v Llantwi… | 0-0 |
| Dec 26 | Baglan … v Afan Li… | 3-1 |
| Dec 20 | Baglan … v Trethom… | 2-1 |
| Nov 28 | Baglan … v Ammanfo… | 0-3 |
| Nov 07 | Baglan … v Ynyshir… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 17, 2025 | Baglan Dragons | 3-3 | Newport City |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Newport City | 2-0 | Baglan Dragons |
Key Factors
Baglan Dragons struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.