Cup · Feb 11, 2026 19:30
Union Saint-Gilloise
PWR 69
Charleroi
PWR 45
Union Saint-Gilloise
PWR 69
4 - 1
FT
Charleroi
PWR 45
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Union Saint-Gilloise Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (41%)1-0 (28%)2-0 (10%)0-1 (8%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (2%)
CORRECT 4-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
6%
Under 2.5
94%
94%
BTTS
No
No 9%
Over 3.5
18%
Team Comparison
70Attack44
65Defense43
Goals/G
2.01.3
Conc/G
1.01.6
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Union Saint-Gi…
WDWWD
STABLE
Charleroi
LDWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Union Saint-Gi…vs
0.20
CharleroiGoal Probability
Union Saint…
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Charleroi
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (17%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)0-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 65% | 35% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 3.5 | 19% | 82% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Union Saint…+5
Gap#7
Charleroi
WR 71% 31 pts
WR 50% 13 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Saint-G… | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 14 | 31 |
| Charleroi | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 13 |
Union Saint-Gi…
16.0%
| Feb 08 | Union S… v RAAL La… | 2-1 |
| Feb 04 | Union S… v Charler… | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Union S… v Club Br… | 1-0 |
| Jan 28 | Union S… v Atalanta | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Union S… v OH Leuv… | 0-0 |
| Jan 21 | Union S… v Bayern … | 2-0 |
| Jan 17 | Union S… v Mechelen | 1-0 |
| Jan 14 | Union S… v Dender | 0-2 |
| Dec 26 | Union S… v Cercle … | 1-1 |
| Dec 20 | Union S… v Zulte W… | 2-0 |
Charleroi
14.0%
| Feb 07 | Charler… v Cercle … | 3-4 |
| Feb 04 | Charler… v Union S… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Charler… v St. Tru… | 0-2 |
| Jan 25 | Charler… v Antwerp | 0-2 |
| Jan 18 | Charler… v Standar… | 2-0 |
| Jan 13 | Charler… v Club Br… | 2-0 |
| Dec 26 | Charler… v Anderle… | 1-2 |
| Dec 19 | Charler… v Genk | 2-2 |
| Dec 14 | Charler… v Union S… | 1-1 |
| Dec 07 | Charler… v Mechelen | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 04, 2026 | Charleroi | 0-0 | Union Saint-G… |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Charleroi | 1-1 | Union Saint-G… |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Union Saint-G… | 3-1 | Charleroi |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Charleroi | 1-2 | Union Saint-G… |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Union Saint-G… | 1-0 | Charleroi |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Charleroi | 1-3 | Union Saint-G… |
| Oct 01, 2023 | Union Saint-G… | 3-1 | Charleroi |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Charleroi | 0-1 | Union Saint-G… |
| Jul 29, 2022 | Union Saint-G… | 1-0 | Charleroi |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Charleroi | 0-3 | Union Saint-G… |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
66%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Union Saint-Gilloise in strong form (3W in last 5)
Charleroi in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.