Cup · Feb 04, 2026 19:30

Charleroi
PWR 45
0 - 0
FT

Union Saint-Gilloise
PWR 69
55% 23% 22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Charleroi Win
Score
2-3
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (30%)0-0 (26%)2-0 (17%)3-0 (7%)1-1 (6%)0-1 (5%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.92x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.41x
Over 2.5
16%
Under 2.5 84%
84%
BTTS No
No 12%
Over 3.5
16%
Team Comparison
44Attack70
43Defense65
Goals/G
1.32.0
Conc/G
1.61.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Charleroi WWWWW
UP
Union Saint-Gi… WWDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Full data available (Tier 1)Consider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Charleroi
vs
0.20
Union Saint-Gi…
Goal Probability
Charleroi
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Union Saint…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (13%)1-0 (12%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 87% 13% OVER
1.5 61% 39% -
2.5 34% 66% UNDER
3.5 16% 84% UNDER
4.5 6% 94% UNDER
5.5 2% 98% UNDER
6.5 1% 100% UNDER
League Position
#7
Charleroi
-5
Gap
#2
Union Saint…
WR 50% 13 pts WR 71% 31 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Charleroi8413101313
Union Saint-G…141013281431
Charleroi 20.0%
Jan 31 Charler… v St. Tru… 0-2
Jan 25 Charler… v Antwerp 0-2
Jan 18 Charler… v Standar… 2-0
Jan 13 Charler… v Club Br… 2-0
Dec 26 Charler… v Anderle… 1-2
Dec 19 Charler… v Genk 2-2
Dec 14 Charler… v Union S… 1-1
Dec 07 Charler… v Mechelen 1-0
Dec 04 Charler… v Mechelen 2-0
Nov 29 Charler… v RAAL La… 0-0
Union Saint-Gi… 14.0%
Feb 01 Union S… v Club Br… 1-0
Jan 28 Union S… v Atalanta 1-0
Jan 24 Union S… v OH Leuv… 0-0
Jan 21 Union S… v Bayern … 2-0
Jan 17 Union S… v Mechelen 1-0
Jan 14 Union S… v Dender 0-2
Dec 26 Union S… v Cercle … 1-1
Dec 20 Union S… v Zulte W… 2-0
Dec 14 Union S… v Charler… 1-1
Dec 09 Union S… v Olympiq… 2-3
Head-to-Head (10)
Dec 14, 2025 Charleroi 1-1 Union Saint-G…
Oct 18, 2025 Union Saint-G… 3-1 Charleroi
Jan 11, 2025 Charleroi 1-2 Union Saint-G…
Aug 16, 2024 Union Saint-G… 1-0 Charleroi
Dec 10, 2023 Charleroi 1-3 Union Saint-G…
Oct 01, 2023 Union Saint-G… 3-1 Charleroi
Jan 28, 2023 Charleroi 0-1 Union Saint-G…
Jul 29, 2022 Union Saint-G… 1-0 Charleroi
Feb 19, 2022 Charleroi 0-3 Union Saint-G…
Nov 06, 2021 Union Saint-G… 4-0 Charleroi
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
50%
Market
35%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Charleroi in strong form (5W in last 5)
Union Saint-Gilloise in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.