Premier League · Mar 07, 2026 13:00

Zabbar St. Patrick
PWR 35
1-0
predicted

Mosta
PWR 35
55% 23% 22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Zabbar St. Patrick Win
Score
1-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (39%)1-0 (28%)2-0 (10%)0-1 (9%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
7%
Under 2.5 93%
93%
BTTS No
No 10%
Over 3.5
9%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Zabbar St. Pat… LDWDD
STABLE
Mosta LLLLD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateH2H: 2/5 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Zabbar St. Pat…
vs
0.22
Mosta
Goal Probability
Zabbar St. …
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Mosta
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (21%)0-0 (19%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (11%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 81% 19% OVER
1.5 49% 51% -
2.5 23% 77% UNDER
3.5 9% 91% UNDER
4.5 3% 97% UNDER
5.5 1% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#10
Zabbar St. …
+2
Gap
#12
Mosta
WR 0% 6 pts WR 0% 1 pts
Zabbar St. Pat… 10.0%
Mar 04 Zabbar … v Birkirk… 2-1
Feb 28 Zabbar … v Gżira U… 1-1
Feb 21 Zabbar … v Birkirk… 0-3
Feb 17 Zabbar … v Vallett… 0-0
Feb 13 Zabbar … v Hamrun … 0-0
Feb 07 Zabbar … v Marsaxl… 1-2
Feb 04 Zabbar … v Hiberni… 2-1
Feb 01 Zabbar … v Floriana 0-3
Jan 28 Zabbar … v Floriana 0-0
Jan 23 Zabbar … v Naxxar … 2-1
Mosta 2.0%
Mar 03 Mosta v Gżira U… 2-1
Feb 28 Mosta v Marsaxl… 1-2
Feb 22 Mosta v Gżira U… 1-0
Feb 18 Mosta v Tarxien… 0-1
Feb 14 Mosta v Birkirk… 0-0
Feb 08 Mosta v Sliema … 0-1
Feb 04 Mosta v Naxxar … 5-0
Jan 31 Mosta v Hiberni… 1-0
Jan 28 Mosta v Mgarr U… 0-3
Jan 25 Mosta v Floriana 2-1
Head-to-Head (5)
Dec 12, 2025 Mosta 1-1 Zabbar St. Pa…
Oct 24, 2025 Mosta 1-1 Zabbar St. Pa…
Mar 29, 2025 Zabbar St. Pa… 1-2 Mosta
Oct 27, 2024 Mosta 4-2 Zabbar St. Pa…
Jul 31, 2024 Mosta 2-3 Zabbar St. Pa…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
53%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Mosta struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.