Premier League · Mar 07, 2026 13:00

Zabbar St. Patrick
PWR 35

Mosta
PWR 35

Zabbar St. Patrick
PWR 35
1-0
predicted

Mosta
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Zabbar St. Patrick Win
Score
1-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (39%)1-0 (28%)2-0 (10%)0-1 (9%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
7%
Under 2.5
93%
93%
BTTS
No
No 10%
Over 3.5
9%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Zabbar St. Pat…
LDWDD
STABLE
Mosta
LLLLD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateH2H: 2/5 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Zabbar St. Pat…vs
0.22
MostaGoal Probability
Zabbar St. …
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Mosta
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (21%)0-0 (19%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (11%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 2.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Zabbar St. …+2
Gap#12
Mosta
WR 0% 6 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Zabbar St. Pat…
10.0%
| Mar 04 | Zabbar … v Birkirk… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Zabbar … v Gżira U… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Zabbar … v Birkirk… | 0-3 |
| Feb 17 | Zabbar … v Vallett… | 0-0 |
| Feb 13 | Zabbar … v Hamrun … | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Zabbar … v Marsaxl… | 1-2 |
| Feb 04 | Zabbar … v Hiberni… | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Zabbar … v Floriana | 0-3 |
| Jan 28 | Zabbar … v Floriana | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | Zabbar … v Naxxar … | 2-1 |
Mosta
2.0%
| Mar 03 | Mosta v Gżira U… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Mosta v Marsaxl… | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Mosta v Gżira U… | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | Mosta v Tarxien… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Mosta v Birkirk… | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | Mosta v Sliema … | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Mosta v Naxxar … | 5-0 |
| Jan 31 | Mosta v Hiberni… | 1-0 |
| Jan 28 | Mosta v Mgarr U… | 0-3 |
| Jan 25 | Mosta v Floriana | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Dec 12, 2025 | Mosta | 1-1 | Zabbar St. Pa… |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Mosta | 1-1 | Zabbar St. Pa… |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Zabbar St. Pa… | 1-2 | Mosta |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Mosta | 4-2 | Zabbar St. Pa… |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Mosta | 2-3 | Zabbar St. Pa… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
53%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Mosta struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.