Championship · Mar 07, 2026 15:00
Derby
PWR 37
Sheffield Wednesday FC
PWR 46
Derby
PWR 37
2-1
predicted
Sheffield Wednesday FC
PWR 46
57% H
23% D
20% A
Final Verdict
Derby Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
68%
Confidence
GOLD
Stability GOLD
Stability GOLD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (18%)
2-0 (17%)
1-0 (11%)
3-1 (4%)
0-0 (4%)
2-1 (3%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 68%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskH2H: 2/7 draws (29%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.0%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack44
Defense63
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.2
Attack100
Defense30
Goals/G3.7
Conc/G2.3
Derby Form
WLLWL
STABLE
Sheffield Wedn… Form
LLLLL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.555%
BTTS17%
Under 2.545%
Derby Goals
0
4%
1
14%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Sheffield W… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 4.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.9
Over 3.555%
BTTS Yes44%
Home Clean Sheet54%
Away Clean Sheet4%
Top Correct Scores:
3-0 (12%)
2-0 (11%)
4-0 (10%)
3-1 (7%)
1-0 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.14
Derbyvs
0.20
Sheffield Wedn…Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings82%
Market50%
League Standings
#8
Derby+16
Gap#24
Sheffield W…
WR 33% 51 pts
WR 6% -7 pts
Derby
8.0%
| Feb 28 | Derby v Blackbu… | 3-1 |
| Feb 24 | Derby v Hull Ci… | 4-2 |
| Feb 21 | Derby v Watford | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Derby v Swansea | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Derby v Ipswich | 1-2 |
| Jan 30 | Derby v Bristol… | 0-5 |
| Jan 23 | Derby v West Br… | 1-1 |
| Jan 20 | Derby v Charlton | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | Derby v Preston | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | Derby v Leeds | 1-3 |
Sheffield Wedn…
0.0%
| Feb 28 | Sheffie… v Southam… | 1-3 |
| Feb 25 | Sheffie… v Norwich… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Sheffie… v Sheffie… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Sheffie… v Millwall | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Sheffie… v Swansea | 4-0 |
| Feb 03 | Sheffie… v Blackbu… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Sheffie… v Wrexham | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Sheffie… v Bristol… | 2-0 |
| Jan 20 | Sheffie… v Birming… | 0-2 |
| Jan 17 | Sheffie… v Portsmo… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Dec 15, 2025 | Sheffield Wed… | 0-3 | Derby |
| Jan 01, 2025 | Sheffield Wed… | 4-2 | Derby |
| Dec 01, 2024 | Derby | 1-2 | Sheffield Wed… |
| May 07, 2023 | Sheffield Wed… | 1-0 | Derby |
| Dec 03, 2022 | Derby | 0-0 | Sheffield Wed… |
| May 08, 2021 | Derby | 3-3 | Sheffield Wed… |
| Jan 01, 2021 | Sheffield Wed… | 1-0 | Derby |
Key Factors
Derby struggling (3L in last 5)
Sheffield Wednesday FC struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.