Championship · Mar 07, 2026 15:00
Swansea
PWR 34
Stoke City
PWR 37
Swansea
PWR 34
2-1
predicted
Stoke City
PWR 37
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
Swansea Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (25%)
2-0 (21%)
0-0 (16%)
3-0 (11%)
1-1 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSN/A
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.4%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack34
Defense63
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.2
Attack34
Defense72
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G0.9
Swansea Form
LDWLW
STABLE
Stoke City Form
LWDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.528%
BTTS17%
Under 2.572%
Swansea Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Stoke City Goals
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 34% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.3
Over 3.520%
BTTS Yes37%
Home Clean Sheet54%
Away Clean Sheet19%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (17%)
2-0 (14%)
1-1 (10%)
0-0 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
3-0 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Swanseavs
0.23
Stoke CityDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum85%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#16
Swansea-2
Gap#14
Stoke City
WR 50% 46 pts
WR 33% 47 pts
Swansea
10.0%
| Feb 28 | Swansea v Ipswich | 3-0 |
| Feb 24 | Swansea v Preston | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Swansea v Bristol… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Swansea v Derby | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Swansea v Sheffie… | 4-0 |
| Jan 31 | Swansea v Watford | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Swansea v Hull Ci… | 2-1 |
| Jan 20 | Swansea v Blackbu… | 3-1 |
| Jan 17 | Swansea v Birming… | 1-1 |
| Jan 11 | Swansea v West Br… | 1-1 |
Stoke City
6.0%
| Feb 28 | Stoke C… v Coventry | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Stoke C… v Oxford … | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Stoke C… v Leicest… | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Stoke C… v Fulham | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Stoke C… v Charlton | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Stoke C… v West Br… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Stoke C… v Southam… | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Stoke C… v Birming… | 1-1 |
| Jan 21 | Stoke C… v Middles… | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | Stoke C… v QPR | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 13, 2025 | Stoke City | 2-1 | Swansea |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Stoke City | 3-1 | Swansea |
| Oct 05, 2024 | Swansea | 0-0 | Stoke City |
| Oct 05, 2024 | Swansea | 0-0 | Stoke City |
| Apr 10, 2024 | Swansea | 3-0 | Stoke City |
| Apr 10, 2024 | Swansea | 3-0 | Stoke City |
| Dec 12, 2023 | Stoke City | 1-1 | Swansea |
| Dec 12, 2023 | Stoke City | 1-1 | Swansea |
| Feb 21, 2023 | Swansea | 1-3 | Stoke City |
| Aug 31, 2022 | Stoke City | 1-1 | Swansea |
Key Factors
Stoke City struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.