Ekstraklasa · Mar 08, 2026 16:30
Raków Częstochowa
PWR 35
Pogoń Szczecin
PWR 35
Raków Częstochowa
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Pogoń Szczecin
PWR 35
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
Raków Częstochowa Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (30%)
1-0 (30%)
2-0 (14%)
0-1 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
3-0 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.9%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Raków Częstoch… Form
LWDDL
STABLE
Pogoń Szczecin Form
WWWDL
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.512%
BTTS12%
Under 2.588%
Raków Częst… Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Pogoń Szcze… Goals
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 2.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.8
Over 3.510%
BTTS Yes34%
Home Clean Sheet43%
Away Clean Sheet40%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (18%)
1-0 (16%)
0-1 (15%)
1-1 (13%)
2-0 (7%)
0-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Raków Częstoch…vs
0.22
Pogoń SzczecinDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum71%
Standings60%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Raków Częst…+3
Gap#8
Pogoń Szcze…
WR 36% 34 pts
WR 18% 31 pts
Raków Częstoch…
8.0%
| Mar 01 | Raków C… v Lech Po… | 4-3 |
| Feb 21 | Raków C… v Nieciec… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Raków C… v Zaglebi… | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | Raków C… v Radomia… | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Raków C… v Wisla P… | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Raków C… v Vojvodi… | 3-1 |
| Jan 18 | Raków C… v Partiza… | 1-1 |
| Jan 10 | Raków C… v RB Salz… | 1-1 |
| Dec 18 | Raków C… v Omonia … | 0-1 |
| Dec 14 | Raków C… v Zaglebi… | 0-1 |
Pogoń Szczecin
14.0%
| Feb 28 | Pogoń S… v Widzew … | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Pogoń S… v Gornik … | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Pogoń S… v Arka Gd… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Pogoń S… v Nieciec… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Pogoń S… v Motor L… | 2-1 |
| Jan 18 | Pogoń S… v FK Jabl… | 0-0 |
| Dec 06 | Pogoń S… v Radomia… | 2-2 |
| Dec 02 | Pogoń S… v Widzew … | 0-1 |
| Nov 29 | Pogoń S… v GKS Kat… | 2-0 |
| Nov 24 | Pogoń S… v Zaglebi… | 5-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 31, 2025 | Pogoń Szczecin | 2-0 | Raków Częstoc… |
| May 11, 2024 | Raków Częstoc… | 2-1 | Pogoń Szczecin |
Key Factors
Pogoń Szczecin in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.