First Division · Mar 06, 2026 17:00
AEK Larnaca
PWR 35
Aris
PWR 35
AEK Larnaca
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Aris
PWR 35
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
AEK Larnaca Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (13%)
2-0 (10%)
3-1 (6%)
1-0 (5%)
2-1 (5%)
1-1 (3%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskAway draws 42% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.9%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
AEK Larnaca Form
DLLWW
STABLE
Aris Form
DLWDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS39%
Under 2.538%
AEK Larnaca Goals
0
3%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Aris Goals
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 4.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 5.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total4.0
Over 3.556%
BTTS Yes59%
Home Clean Sheet38%
Away Clean Sheet5%
Top Correct Scores:
2-0 (9%)
3-0 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
4-0 (6%)
4-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.70
AEK Larnacavs
0.51
ArisDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings64%
Market50%
League Standings
#3
AEK Larnaca+3
Gap#6
Aris
WR 58% 47 pts
WR 25% 40 pts
AEK Larnaca
10.0%
| Mar 01 | AEK Lar… v Olympia… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | AEK Lar… v Omonia … | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | AEK Lar… v Apollon… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | AEK Lar… v Apoel N… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | AEK Lar… v Enosis | 5-0 |
| Jan 25 | AEK Lar… v Pafos FC | 1-2 |
| Jan 18 | AEK Lar… v Digenis… | 2-1 |
| Jan 14 | AEK Lar… v Omonia … | 2-1 |
| Jan 10 | AEK Lar… v Aris | 1-0 |
| Jan 04 | AEK Lar… v Anortho… | 4-0 |
Aris
10.0%
| Mar 01 | Aris v Pafos FC | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Aris v Digenis… | 1-3 |
| Feb 21 | Aris v Olympia… | 1-3 |
| Feb 20 | Aris v Digenis… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Aris v Aris | 1-1 |
| Feb 09 | Aris v Omonia … | 2-0 |
| Feb 09 | Aris v Anortho… | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Aris v AEL | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Aris v Anortho… | 2-0 |
| Jan 25 | Aris v Omonia … | 3-5 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jan 10, 2026 | Aris | 1-0 | AEK Larnaca |
| Dec 01, 2025 | Aris | 1-1 | AEK Larnaca |
| Sep 22, 2025 | AEK Larnaca | 3-2 | Aris |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.