Paulista - A4 · Mar 07, 2026 18:00
Comercial
PWR 35
Nacional SP
PWR 0
Comercial
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Nacional SP
PWR 0
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Comercial to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (39%)
1-0 (29%)
2-0 (11%)
0-1 (8%)
1-1 (6%)
3-0 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Comercial Form
LWLLL
STABLE
Nacional SP Form
LLLDL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.57%
BTTS9%
Under 2.593%
Comercial Goals
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Nacional SP Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 2.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.3
Over 3.54%
BTTS Yes21%
Home Clean Sheet59%
Away Clean Sheet48%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (28%)
1-0 (21%)
0-1 (15%)
1-1 (11%)
2-0 (8%)
2-1 (4%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Comercialvs
0.20
Nacional SPDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings56%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Comercial+4
Gap#16
Nacional SP
WR 0% 4 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Comercial
4.0%
| Feb 28 | Comerci… v EC Leme… | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Comerci… v Colorad… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Comerci… v Barretos | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Comerci… v Grêmio … | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | Comerci… v Taquari… | 0-1 |
| Feb 03 | Comerci… v Penapol… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Comerci… v ECUS | 1-1 |
| Oct 26 | Comerci… v Corí-Sa… | 2-1 |
| Oct 23 | Comerci… v Corí-Sa… | 0-0 |
| Sep 27 | Comerci… v XV de P… | 1-0 |
Nacional SP
2.0%
| Feb 28 | Naciona… v Tanabi | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | Naciona… v EC Leme… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Naciona… v Joseense | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Naciona… v Vocem | 0-0 |
| Feb 11 | Naciona… v São Cae… | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | Naciona… v Grêmio … | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Naciona… v Jabaqua… | 1-0 |
Key Factors
Comercial struggling (4L in last 5)
Nacional SP struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.