Birinci Dəstə · Mar 05, 2026 11:00
Safa Baku
PWR 35
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Şahdağ
PWR 35
PWR 35
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
Safa Baku Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (21%)
0-0 (18%)
2-0 (12%)
1-1 (12%)
0-1 (10%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 62% at home = very high riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.7%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Safa Baku Form
WDDDW
STABLE
Şahdağ Form
WWWWD
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.524%
BTTS29%
Under 2.576%
Safa Baku Goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Şahdağ Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.9
Over 3.534%
BTTS Yes50%
Home Clean Sheet43%
Away Clean Sheet12%
Top Correct Scores:
2-0 (12%)
1-0 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Safa Bakuvs
0.55
ŞahdağDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum68%
Standings56%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Safa Baku+4
Gap#5
Şahdağ
WR 38% 36 pts
WR 38% 24 pts
Safa Baku
14.0%
| Feb 25 | Safa Ba… v Difai A… | 1-8 |
| Feb 19 | Safa Ba… v Energet… | 2-2 |
| Feb 12 | Safa Ba… v Səbail … | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Safa Ba… v Baku Sp… | 1-1 |
| Dec 25 | Safa Ba… v MOIK | 0-2 |
| Dec 19 | Safa Ba… v Cəbrayıl | 0-1 |
| Dec 11 | Safa Ba… v Qabala | 1-1 |
| Dec 04 | Safa Ba… v Qabala | 2-1 |
| Nov 27 | Safa Ba… v Şahdağ | 0-2 |
| Nov 22 | Safa Ba… v Difai A… | 1-1 |
Şahdağ
18.0%
| Feb 25 | Şahdağ v Qabala | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | Şahdağ v Şimal | 0-1 |
| Feb 12 | Şahdağ v Cəbrayıl | 4-2 |
| Feb 06 | Şahdağ v Difai A… | 4-0 |
| Dec 24 | Şahdağ v Energet… | 1-1 |
| Dec 18 | Şahdağ v Səbail … | 2-2 |
| Dec 10 | Şahdağ v Baku Sp… | 2-1 |
| Dec 02 | Şahdağ v Turan T… | 1-2 |
| Nov 27 | Şahdağ v Safa Ba… | 0-2 |
| Nov 20 | Şahdağ v Qabala | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 27, 2025 | Şahdağ | 0-2 | Safa Baku |
Key Factors
Şahdağ in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.