Predictions Match Details
Copa Santa Catarina · Nov 16, 2025 19:00

Joinville
PWR 44
1 - 4
FT

Figueirense
PWR 58
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Joinville to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-4
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 5/6 draws (83%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Power & Form
Attack46
Defense52
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.4
Attack63
Defense61
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G1.1
Joinville Form LWDDW
STABLE
Figueirense Form LWWLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.540%
BTTS30%
Under 2.560%
Joinville Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Figueirense Goals
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 90% 10% OVER
1.5 67% 34% OVER
2.5 40% 60% -
3.5 20% 80% UNDER
4.5 8% 92% UNDER
5.5 3% 97% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.3
Over 3.520%
BTTS Yes46%
Home Clean Sheet29%
Away Clean Sheet36%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (13%) 0-1 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 1-2 (8%) 0-2 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Joinville
vs
0.43
Figueirense
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum86%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Joinville
-2
Gap
#1
Figueirense
WR 32% 24 pts WR 47% 32 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Joinville19667252624
Figueirense19955342132
Joinville 12.0%
Nov 09 Joinvil… v Blumenau 1-0
Nov 02 Joinvil… v Blumenau 1-0
Oct 27 Joinvil… v Criciúma 2-2
Oct 21 Joinvil… v Criciúma 0-0
Oct 13 Joinvil… v Blumenau 2-0
Oct 07 Joinvil… v Nação 0-1
Oct 01 Joinvil… v Carlos … 2-0
Sep 21 Joinvil… v Carlos … 4-2
Sep 14 Joinvil… v Nação 0-0
Sep 07 Joinvil… v Blumenau 2-0
Figueirense 10.0%
Nov 09 Figueir… v Marcíli… 2-1
Nov 02 Figueir… v Marcíli… 3-0
Oct 26 Figueir… v Chapeco… 2-0
Oct 22 Figueir… v Chapeco… 2-1
Oct 12 Figueir… v Avaí 1-1
Oct 04 Figueir… v Marcíli… 2-2
Oct 01 Figueir… v Barra 1-4
Sep 21 Figueir… v Guaraní… 1-4
Sep 21 Figueir… v Barra 2-1
Sep 15 Figueir… v Marcíli… 1-2
Head-to-Head (6)
Jan 11, 2025 Joinville 0-0 Figueirense
Oct 05, 2024 Joinville 0-0 Figueirense
Jan 24, 2024 Figueirense 1-1 Joinville
Aug 31, 2023 Joinville 1-3 Figueirense
Jan 21, 2023 Figueirense 1-1 Joinville
Jan 23, 2022 Figueirense 0-0 Joinville
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.