Liga 3 · Mar 01, 2026 15:00
Fafe
PWR 35
3 - 2
FT

Sanjoanense
PWR 35
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
WRONG - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Liga 3
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Fafe Form LWDDL
STABLE
Sanjoanense Form LDLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS36%
Under 2.539%
Fafe Goals
0
2%
1
7%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Sanjoanense Goals
0
64%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 99% 1% OVER
1.5 93% 8% OVER
2.5 80% 21% OVER
3.5 61% 39% -
4.5 42% 58% -
5.5 25% 75% UNDER
6.5 14% 86% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total4.2
Over 3.561%
BTTS Yes42%
Home Clean Sheet57%
Away Clean Sheet3%
Top Correct Scores:
3-0 (12%) 4-0 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 5-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 4-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.98
Fafe
vs
0.45
Sanjoanense
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings61%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Fafe
+3
Gap
#10
Sanjoanense
WR 33% 24 pts WR 11% 13 pts
Fafe 8.0%
Feb 21 Fafe v São Joã… 1-0
Feb 15 Fafe v SC Braga 2-1
Feb 04 Fafe v Moreire… 1-1
Jan 25 Fafe v SC Braga 2-2
Jan 18 Fafe v Guimara… 1-0
Jan 14 Fafe v SC Braga 2-1
Jan 10 Fafe v São Joã… 0-4
Jan 04 Fafe v Varzim 1-0
Dec 27 Fafe v Lusitan… 0-1
Dec 21 Fafe v Amarante 3-2
Sanjoanense 2.0%
Feb 22 Sanjoan… v Paredes 3-1
Feb 14 Sanjoan… v São Joã… 1-1
Jan 25 Sanjoan… v Guimara… 2-3
Jan 17 Sanjoan… v Varzim 2-0
Jan 10 Sanjoan… v Trofense 2-4
Jan 04 Sanjoan… v Paredes 3-0
Dec 20 Sanjoan… v SC Braga 0-2
Dec 13 Sanjoan… v São Joã… 2-1
Dec 06 Sanjoan… v Amarante 0-2
Nov 29 Sanjoan… v AD Marc… 2-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Nov 09, 2025 Sanjoanense 1-1 Fafe
Aug 10, 2025 Fafe 0-2 Sanjoanense
Nov 30, 2024 Sanjoanense 0-1 Fafe
Aug 17, 2024 Fafe 1-1 Sanjoanense
Mar 30, 2024 Sanjoanense 4-2 Fafe
Mar 09, 2024 Fafe 0-2 Sanjoanense
Dec 10, 2023 Fafe 1-1 Sanjoanense
Aug 27, 2023 Sanjoanense 1-1 Fafe
Mar 04, 2023 Sanjoanense 4-0 Fafe
Nov 26, 2022 Fafe 1-1 Sanjoanense
Key Factors
Sanjoanense struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.