Primera DivisiĂłn · Mar 10, 2026 01:30
Alianza Lima
PWR 35
FBC Melgar
PWR 35
Alianza Lima
PWR 35
3-2
predicted
FBC Melgar
PWR 35
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
Alianza Lima Win
Prediction
3-2
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (9%)
3-1 (7%)
2-0 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
1-0 (3%)
3-2 (3%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 2/3 draws (67%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.4%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Alianza Lima Form
WWDDW
STABLE
FBC Melgar Form
LLWWW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.564%
BTTS55%
Under 2.536%
Alianza Lima Goals
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
FBC Melgar Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.8
Over 3.530%
BTTS Yes54%
Home Clean Sheet32%
Away Clean Sheet20%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (12%)
1-0 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
2-0 (8%)
0-1 (7%)
1-2 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.07
Alianza Limavs
0.81
FBC MelgarDecision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings71%
Market50%
League Standings
#1
Alianza Lima+4
Gap#5
FBC Melgar
WR 100% 13 pts
WR 50% 9 pts
Alianza Lima
16.0%
| Feb 28 | Alianza… v UTC | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Alianza… v Sport B… | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Alianza… v Alianza… | 0-0 |
| Feb 12 | Alianza… v 2 de Ma… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Alianza… v Comerci… | 2-1 |
| Feb 05 | Alianza… v 2 de Ma… | 1-0 |
| Jan 30 | Alianza… v Sport H… | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | Alianza… v Inter M… | 3-0 |
| Jan 19 | Alianza… v Colo-Co… | 2-3 |
| Dec 07 | Alianza… v Sportin… | 3-3 |
FBC Melgar
12.0%
| Feb 27 | FBC Mel… v Cultura… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | FBC Mel… v FC Caja… | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | FBC Mel… v UCV Moq… | 4-0 |
| Feb 08 | FBC Mel… v Sportin… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | FBC Mel… v Ciencia… | 2-0 |
| Jan 25 | FBC Mel… v Macará | 2-1 |
| Nov 01 | FBC Mel… v Alianza… | 2-2 |
| Oct 26 | FBC Mel… v Sport H… | 2-0 |
| Oct 20 | FBC Mel… v Sport B… | 1-0 |
| Oct 14 | FBC Mel… v Alianza… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Nov 01, 2025 | Alianza Lima | 2-2 | FBC Melgar |
| Jun 28, 2025 | FBC Melgar | 0-1 | Alianza Lima |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Alianza Lima | 1-1 | FBC Melgar |
Key Factors
Alianza Lima in strong form (3W in last 5)
FBC Melgar in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.