Primera DivisiĂłn · Mar 07, 2026 20:30

Sporting Cristal
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Alianza Atlético
PWR 35
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (11%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Sporting Crist… Form LDDDW
STABLE
Alianza Atléti… Form WDDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.538%
BTTS32%
Under 2.562%
Sporting Cr… Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Alianza Atl… Goals
0
61%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 77% 23% OVER
1.5 43% 57% -
2.5 18% 82% UNDER
3.5 6% 94% UNDER
4.5 2% 98% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total1.5
Over 3.56%
BTTS Yes24%
Home Clean Sheet61%
Away Clean Sheet38%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (23%) 1-0 (23%) 0-1 (11%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Sporting Crist…
vs
0.49
Alianza Atléti…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum83%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Sporting Cr…
-1
Gap
#10
Alianza Atl…
WR 0% 5 pts WR 0% 6 pts
Sporting Crist… 10.0%
Feb 28 Sportin… v Sport H… 2-1
Feb 25 Sportin… v 2 de Ma… 0-0
Feb 21 Sportin… v Univers… 2-2
Feb 18 Sportin… v 2 de Ma… 2-2
Feb 14 Sportin… v Juan Pa… 0-2
Feb 08 Sportin… v FBC Mel… 1-2
Feb 01 Sportin… v Deporti… 1-1
Jul 30 Sportin… v Sport H… 5-0
Feb 22 Sportin… v Sport H… 0-1
Sep 14 Sportin… v Sport H… 1-2
Alianza Atléti… 10.0%
Mar 04 Alianza… v Deporti… 1-0
Feb 27 Alianza… v ADT 0-0
Feb 22 Alianza… v Ciencia… 1-1
Feb 15 Alianza… v Alianza… 0-0
Feb 08 Alianza… v Cultura… 1-0
Feb 01 Alianza… v Cusco 1-0
Nov 16 Alianza… v Sport B… 0-1
Nov 09 Alianza… v Alianza… 2-1
Nov 02 Alianza… v Atletic… 1-1
Oct 25 Alianza… v Ciencia… 0-1
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.