Primera DivisiĂłn · Mar 07, 2026 20:30

Sporting Cristal
PWR 35

Alianza Atlético
PWR 35

Sporting Cristal
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Alianza Atlético
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%)
2-0 (16%)
0-0 (11%)
3-0 (9%)
1-1 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Sporting Crist… Form
LDDDW
STABLE
Alianza Atléti… Form
WDDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.538%
BTTS32%
Under 2.562%
Sporting Cr… Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Alianza Atl… Goals
0
61%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 2.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.5
Over 3.56%
BTTS Yes24%
Home Clean Sheet61%
Away Clean Sheet38%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (23%)
1-0 (23%)
0-1 (11%)
1-1 (11%)
2-0 (11%)
2-1 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Sporting Crist…vs
0.49
Alianza Atléti…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum83%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Sporting Cr…-1
Gap#10
Alianza Atl…
WR 0% 5 pts
WR 0% 6 pts
Sporting Crist…
10.0%
| Feb 28 | Sportin… v Sport H… | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Sportin… v 2 de Ma… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Sportin… v Univers… | 2-2 |
| Feb 18 | Sportin… v 2 de Ma… | 2-2 |
| Feb 14 | Sportin… v Juan Pa… | 0-2 |
| Feb 08 | Sportin… v FBC Mel… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Sportin… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Jul 30 | Sportin… v Sport H… | 5-0 |
| Feb 22 | Sportin… v Sport H… | 0-1 |
| Sep 14 | Sportin… v Sport H… | 1-2 |
Alianza Atléti…
10.0%
| Mar 04 | Alianza… v Deporti… | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Alianza… v ADT | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Alianza… v Ciencia… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Alianza… v Alianza… | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | Alianza… v Cultura… | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Alianza… v Cusco | 1-0 |
| Nov 16 | Alianza… v Sport B… | 0-1 |
| Nov 09 | Alianza… v Alianza… | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Alianza… v Atletic… | 1-1 |
| Oct 25 | Alianza… v Ciencia… | 0-1 |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.