Jupiler Pro League · Mar 07, 2026 19:45

Union Saint-Gilloise
PWR 35
4-1
predicted

Genk
PWR 35
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
Union Saint-Gilloise Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 1-0 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.5%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Union Saint-Gi… Form DWDWW
STABLE
Genk Form WDLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.566%
BTTS63%
Under 2.534%
Union Saint… Goals
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Genk Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 92% 8% OVER
1.5 71% 29% OVER
2.5 45% 55% -
3.5 24% 76% UNDER
4.5 11% 89% UNDER
5.5 4% 96% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.5
Over 3.524%
BTTS Yes47%
Home Clean Sheet42%
Away Clean Sheet20%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45
Union Saint-Gi…
vs
1.17
Genk
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings70%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Union Saint…
+5
Gap
#6
Genk
WR 92% 57 pts WR 39% 38 pts
Union Saint-Gi… 16.0%
Mar 01 Union S… v Westerlo 0-0
Feb 21 Union S… v Antwerp 2-1
Feb 14 Union S… v Standar… 1-1
Feb 11 Union S… v Charler… 4-1
Feb 08 Union S… v RAAL La… 2-1
Feb 04 Union S… v Charler… 0-0
Feb 01 Union S… v Club Br… 1-0
Jan 28 Union S… v Atalanta 1-0
Jan 24 Union S… v OH Leuv… 0-0
Jan 21 Union S… v Bayern … 2-0
Genk 10.0%
Mar 01 Genk v Genk 3-0
Feb 26 Genk v Dinamo … 3-3
Feb 22 Genk v Standar… 0-3
Feb 20 Genk v Cercle … 0-1
Feb 19 Genk v Dinamo … 1-3
Feb 14 Genk v Charler… 2-3
Feb 13 Genk v Mechelen 2-3
Feb 08 Genk v Anderle… 2-0
Feb 07 Genk v OH Leuv… 1-3
Feb 01 Genk v Dender 1-2
Head-to-Head (10)
Dec 06, 2025 Union Saint-G… 1-1 Genk
Sep 21, 2025 Genk 1-2 Union Saint-G…
Aug 09, 2025 Genk 2-3 Union Saint-G…
May 25, 2025 Union Saint-G… 3-1 Genk
May 03, 2025 Union Saint-G… 1-0 Genk
Apr 20, 2025 Genk 1-2 Union Saint-G…
Apr 05, 2025 Genk 0-3 Union Saint-G…
Dec 26, 2024 Genk 1-3 Union Saint-G…
Dec 04, 2024 Union Saint-G… 3-2 Genk
Oct 19, 2024 Union Saint-G… 0-0 Genk
Key Factors
Union Saint-Gilloise in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.