Premier League · Mar 03, 2026 19:45
Barry Town
PWR 35
Penybont
PWR 35
Barry Town
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Penybont
PWR 35
57% H
23% D
20% A
Final Verdict
Barry Town Win
Prediction
2-2
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (12%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (4%)
1-0 (4%)
2-1 (3%)
1-1 (1%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
CORRECT - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 46% at home = very high riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskCombined DR 64% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (29.0%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Barry Town Form
WWLLW
STABLE
Penybont Form
LDLDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS29%
Under 2.543%
Barry Town Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Penybont Goals
0
71%
1
25%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 2.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.0
Over 3.513%
BTTS Yes26%
Home Clean Sheet68%
Away Clean Sheet21%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (22%)
2-0 (17%)
0-0 (14%)
3-0 (9%)
1-1 (9%)
2-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Barry Townvs
0.35
PenybontDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings46%
Market57%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Barry Town-2
Gap#3
Penybont
WR 36% 30 pts
WR 55% 38 pts
Barry Town
12.0%
| Feb 21 | Barry T… v GAP Con… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Barry T… v Caernar… | 0-2 |
| Feb 07 | Barry T… v Colwyn … | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Barry T… v The New… | 1-0 |
| Jan 13 | Barry T… v Llanell… | 5-1 |
| Jan 03 | Barry T… v GAP Con… | 3-1 |
| Dec 31 | Barry T… v Briton … | 2-1 |
| Dec 26 | Barry T… v Cardiff… | 1-0 |
| Dec 09 | Barry T… v Penybont | 1-1 |
| Nov 28 | Barry T… v Haverfo… | 4-0 |
Penybont
6.0%
| Feb 21 | Penybont v Colwyn … | 3-1 |
| Feb 14 | Penybont v GAP Con… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Penybont v The New… | 6-0 |
| Jan 24 | Penybont v Caernar… | 0-0 |
| Jan 13 | Penybont v Cardiff… | 1-1 |
| Jan 01 | Penybont v Llanell… | 0-1 |
| Dec 26 | Penybont v Briton … | 1-1 |
| Dec 13 | Penybont v Flint T… | 0-0 |
| Dec 09 | Penybont v Barry T… | 1-1 |
| Nov 29 | Penybont v Colwyn … | 5-4 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Dec 09, 2025 | Penybont | 1-1 | Barry Town |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Barry Town | 2-3 | Penybont |
Key Factors
Barry Town in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.