Premier League · Mar 03, 2026 19:45

GAP Connah S Quay FC
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT

The New Saints
PWR 35
29% H 28% D 43% A
Final Verdict
The New Saints Win
Prediction
3-2
Score
37%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
CORRECT - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 37%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (21.5%) - consider AHElite league - reduced threshold
Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
GAP Connah S Q… Form LDDDD
STABLE
The New Saints Form LWWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.563%
BTTS62%
Under 2.537%
GAP Connah … Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
The New Sai… Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 95% 5% OVER
1.5 79% 21% OVER
2.5 56% 44% -
3.5 33% 67% UNDER
4.5 17% 83% UNDER
5.5 8% 93% UNDER
6.5 3% 97% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.9
Over 3.533%
BTTS Yes58%
Home Clean Sheet21%
Away Clean Sheet27%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (11%) 1-2 (9%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 0-2 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
GAP Connah S Q…
vs
1.18
The New Saints
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings48%
Market35%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
GAP Connah …
-1
Gap
#1
The New Sai…
WR 64% 47 pts WR 73% 53 pts
GAP Connah S Q… 8.0%
Feb 21 GAP Con… v Barry T… 1-0
Feb 14 GAP Con… v Penybont 0-0
Feb 06 GAP Con… v Caernar… 1-1
Jan 24 GAP Con… v Colwyn … 2-2
Jan 13 GAP Con… v Caernar… 2-2
Jan 03 GAP Con… v Barry T… 3-1
Dec 31 GAP Con… v The New… 3-1
Dec 26 GAP Con… v Flint T… 0-2
Dec 21 GAP Con… v Briton … 4-2
Dec 05 GAP Con… v Colwyn … 2-1
The New Saints 16.0%
Feb 28 The New… v Bala To… 0-2
Feb 20 The New… v Caernar… 2-1
Feb 13 The New… v Colwyn … 0-2
Feb 07 The New… v Penybont 6-0
Jan 24 The New… v Barry T… 1-0
Jan 13 The New… v Colwyn … 1-0
Jan 06 The New… v Bala To… 2-1
Dec 31 The New… v GAP Con… 3-1
Dec 09 The New… v Briton … 0-2
Dec 06 The New… v Llandud… 2-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Dec 31, 2025 GAP Connah S … 3-1 The New Saints
Sep 10, 2025 GAP Connah S … 1-3 The New Saints
Aug 22, 2025 The New Saints 3-0 GAP Connah S …
May 04, 2025 GAP Connah S … 2-1 The New Saints
Dec 31, 2024 The New Saints 2-1 GAP Connah S …
Oct 30, 2024 GAP Connah S … 1-2 The New Saints
Apr 28, 2024 GAP Connah S … 2-1 The New Saints
Apr 21, 2024 The New Saints 2-0 GAP Connah S …
Mar 08, 2024 GAP Connah S … 1-5 The New Saints
Dec 31, 2023 GAP Connah S … 0-4 The New Saints
Key Factors
The New Saints in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.