Bundesliga · Mar 08, 2026 16:30

Union Berlin
PWR 46
2-1
predicted

Werder Bremen
PWR 35
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
Union Berlin Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (25%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 42% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (31.4%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack60
Defense70
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Union Berlin Form WLWLD
STABLE
Werder Bremen Form WLLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.516%
BTTS13%
Under 2.584%
Union Berlin Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
Werder Brem… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 91% 9% OVER
1.5 69% 31% OVER
2.5 43% 57% -
3.5 22% 78% UNDER
4.5 10% 90% UNDER
5.5 4% 96% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.4
Over 3.522%
BTTS Yes43%
Home Clean Sheet46%
Away Clean Sheet20%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (9%) 0-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Union Berlin
vs
0.20
Werder Bremen
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings67%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Union Berlin
+6
Gap
#16
Werder Brem…
WR 33% 28 pts WR 8% 22 pts
Union Berlin 10.0%
Mar 01 Union B… v Sebalds… 1-2
Feb 28 Union B… v Borussi… 1-0
Feb 21 Union B… v Bayer L… 1-0
Feb 14 Union B… v Hamburg… 3-2
Feb 06 Union B… v Eintrac… 1-1
Jan 31 Union B… v 1899 Ho… 3-1
Jan 24 Union B… v Borussi… 0-3
Jan 18 Union B… v VfB Stu… 1-1
Jan 15 Union B… v FC Augs… 1-1
Jan 10 Union B… v FSV Mai… 2-2
Werder Bremen 6.0%
Feb 28 Werder … v FC Heid… 2-0
Feb 22 Werder … v FC St. … 2-1
Feb 14 Werder … v Bayern … 0-3
Feb 07 Werder … v SC Frei… 1-0
Jan 31 Werder … v Borussi… 1-1
Jan 27 Werder … v 1899 Ho… 0-2
Jan 24 Werder … v Bayer L… 1-0
Jan 16 Werder … v Eintrac… 3-3
Jan 13 Werder … v Borussi… 3-0
Jan 04 Werder … v FC St. … 0-0
Head-to-Head (4)
Oct 24, 2025 Werder Bremen 1-0 Union Berlin
May 03, 2025 Union Berlin 2-2 Werder Bremen
Dec 21, 2024 Werder Bremen 4-1 Union Berlin
Mar 16, 2024 Union Berlin 2-1 Werder Bremen
Key Factors
Werder Bremen struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.