Bundesliga · Mar 08, 2026 16:30

Union Berlin
PWR 46

Werder Bremen
PWR 35

Union Berlin
PWR 46
2-1
predicted

Werder Bremen
PWR 35
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
Union Berlin Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (30%)
0-0 (25%)
2-0 (18%)
3-0 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
0-1 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 42% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (31.4%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack60
Defense70
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Union Berlin Form
WLWLD
STABLE
Werder Bremen Form
WLLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.516%
BTTS13%
Under 2.584%
Union Berlin Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
Werder Brem… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 3.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.4
Over 3.522%
BTTS Yes43%
Home Clean Sheet46%
Away Clean Sheet20%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (15%)
2-0 (12%)
1-1 (12%)
2-1 (9%)
0-0 (9%)
0-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Union Berlinvs
0.20
Werder BremenDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings67%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Union Berlin+6
Gap#16
Werder Brem…
WR 33% 28 pts
WR 8% 22 pts
Union Berlin
10.0%
| Mar 01 | Union B… v Sebalds… | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Union B… v Borussi… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Union B… v Bayer L… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Union B… v Hamburg… | 3-2 |
| Feb 06 | Union B… v Eintrac… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Union B… v 1899 Ho… | 3-1 |
| Jan 24 | Union B… v Borussi… | 0-3 |
| Jan 18 | Union B… v VfB Stu… | 1-1 |
| Jan 15 | Union B… v FC Augs… | 1-1 |
| Jan 10 | Union B… v FSV Mai… | 2-2 |
Werder Bremen
6.0%
| Feb 28 | Werder … v FC Heid… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Werder … v FC St. … | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Werder … v Bayern … | 0-3 |
| Feb 07 | Werder … v SC Frei… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Werder … v Borussi… | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Werder … v 1899 Ho… | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Werder … v Bayer L… | 1-0 |
| Jan 16 | Werder … v Eintrac… | 3-3 |
| Jan 13 | Werder … v Borussi… | 3-0 |
| Jan 04 | Werder … v FC St. … | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Oct 24, 2025 | Werder Bremen | 1-0 | Union Berlin |
| May 03, 2025 | Union Berlin | 2-2 | Werder Bremen |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Werder Bremen | 4-1 | Union Berlin |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Union Berlin | 2-1 | Werder Bremen |
Key Factors
Werder Bremen struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.