Bundesliga · Mar 07, 2026 14:30

VfL Wolfsburg
PWR 35
2-1
predicted

Hamburger SV
PWR 29
31% H 28% D 41% A
Final Verdict
Hamburger SV Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Similar PPG = 32.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 61% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (31.4%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack30
Defense70
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.0
Attack30
Defense54
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.5
VfL Wolfsburg Form LLDLL
DOWN
Hamburger SV Form LDWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS60%
Under 2.539%
VfL Wolfsbu… Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Hamburger SV Goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 98% 2% OVER
1.5 89% 11% OVER
2.5 73% 28% OVER
3.5 52% 48% -
4.5 32% 68% UNDER
5.5 18% 82% UNDER
6.5 9% 91% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total3.8
Over 3.552%
BTTS Yes71%
Home Clean Sheet12%
Away Clean Sheet19%
Top Correct Scores:
1-2 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-3 (6%) 0-2 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
VfL Wolfsburg
vs
1.15
Hamburger SV
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings38%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#17
VfL Wolfsbu…
-6
Gap
#11
Hamburger SV
WR 17% 20 pts WR 9% 26 pts
VfL Wolfsburg 2.0%
Mar 01 VfL Wol… v VfB Stu… 4-0
Feb 21 VfL Wol… v FC Augs… 2-3
Feb 15 VfL Wol… v RB Leip… 2-2
Feb 07 VfL Wol… v Borussi… 1-2
Jan 30 VfL Wol… v FC Koln 1-0
Jan 24 VfL Wol… v FSV Mai… 3-1
Jan 17 VfL Wol… v FC Heid… 1-1
Jan 14 VfL Wol… v FC St. … 2-1
Jan 11 VfL Wol… v Bayern … 8-1
Dec 20 VfL Wol… v SC Frei… 3-4
Hamburger SV 12.0%
Mar 01 Hamburg… v RB Leip… 1-2
Feb 20 Hamburg… v FSV Mai… 1-1
Feb 14 Hamburg… v Union B… 3-2
Feb 07 Hamburg… v FC Heid… 0-2
Jan 31 Hamburg… v Bayern … 2-2
Jan 23 Hamburg… v FC St. … 0-0
Jan 17 Hamburg… v Borussi… 0-0
Jan 10 Hamburg… v SC Frei… 2-1
Dec 20 Hamburg… v Eintrac… 1-1
Dec 13 Hamburg… v 1899 Ho… 4-1
Head-to-Head (1)
Oct 25, 2025 Hamburger SV 0-1 VfL Wolfsburg
Key Factors
VfL Wolfsburg struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.