Bundesliga · Mar 07, 2026 14:30

FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43
1-3
predicted

VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
VfB Stuttgart Win
Prediction
1-3
Score
65%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 65%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy77%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAPAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.8%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack45
Defense78
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.8
Attack90
Defense40
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G2.0
FSV Mainz 05 Form DDLWW
STABLE
VfB Stuttgart Form WLDWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.540%
BTTS40%
Under 2.560%
FSV Mainz 05 Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
VfB Stuttga… Goals
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 96% 4% OVER
1.5 82% 18% OVER
2.5 61% 39% -
3.5 39% 61% -
4.5 21% 79% UNDER
5.5 10% 90% UNDER
6.5 4% 96% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total3.2
Over 3.539%
BTTS Yes59%
Home Clean Sheet14%
Away Clean Sheet31%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (10%) 1-2 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 0-2 (9%) 1-3 (7%) 2-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
FSV Mainz 05
vs
0.69
VfB Stuttgart
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#14
FSV Mainz 05
-10
Gap
#4
VfB Stuttga…
WR 25% 23 pts WR 42% 46 pts
FSV Mainz 05 12.0%
Feb 28 FSV Mai… v Bayer L… 1-1
Feb 20 FSV Mai… v Hamburg… 1-1
Feb 13 FSV Mai… v Borussi… 4-0
Feb 07 FSV Mai… v FC Augs… 2-0
Jan 31 FSV Mai… v RB Leip… 1-2
Jan 24 FSV Mai… v VfL Wol… 3-1
Jan 17 FSV Mai… v FC Koln 2-1
Jan 13 FSV Mai… v FC Heid… 2-1
Jan 10 FSV Mai… v Union B… 2-2
Dec 21 FSV Mai… v FC St. … 0-0
VfB Stuttgart 12.0%
Mar 01 VfB Stu… v VfL Wol… 4-0
Feb 26 VfB Stu… v Celtic 0-1
Feb 22 VfB Stu… v FC Heid… 3-3
Feb 19 VfB Stu… v Celtic 1-4
Feb 15 VfB Stu… v Viktori… 0-0
Feb 14 VfB Stu… v FC Koln 3-1
Feb 08 VfB Stu… v Borussi… 3-1
Feb 07 VfB Stu… v FC St. … 2-1
Feb 04 VfB Stu… v Holstei… 0-3
Feb 01 VfB Stu… v SC Frei… 1-0
Head-to-Head (2)
Oct 29, 2025 FSV Mainz 05 0-2 VfB Stuttgart
Oct 26, 2025 VfB Stuttgart 2-1 FSV Mainz 05
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.