Bundesliga · Mar 07, 2026 14:30

SC Freiburg
PWR 34
2-2
predicted

Bayer Leverkusen
PWR 42
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
Bayer Leverkusen Win
Prediction
2-2
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (26%) 1-0 (25%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.3%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack47
Defense51
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
Attack60
Defense59
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.4
SC Freiburg Form LWLWL
STABLE
Bayer Leverkus… Form DDLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.515%
BTTS20%
Under 2.585%
SC Freiburg Goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Bayer Lever… Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 88% 12% OVER
1.5 62% 38% -
2.5 35% 65% UNDER
3.5 16% 84% UNDER
4.5 6% 94% UNDER
5.5 2% 98% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.1
Over 3.516%
BTTS Yes30%
Home Clean Sheet20%
Away Clean Sheet63%
Top Correct Scores:
0-1 (20%) 0-2 (16%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (9%) 0-3 (9%) 1-2 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
SC Freiburg
vs
0.39
Bayer Leverkus…
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum68%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
SC Freiburg
-2
Gap
#6
Bayer Lever…
WR 64% 33 pts WR 46% 40 pts
SC Freiburg 8.0%
Mar 01 SC Frei… v Eintrac… 2-0
Feb 22 SC Frei… v Borussi… 2-1
Feb 14 SC Frei… v 1899 Ho… 3-0
Feb 07 SC Frei… v Werder … 1-0
Feb 01 SC Frei… v VfB Stu… 1-0
Jan 29 SC Frei… v Lille 1-0
Jan 25 SC Frei… v FC Koln 2-1
Jan 22 SC Frei… v Maccabi… 1-0
Jan 18 SC Frei… v FC Augs… 2-2
Jan 14 SC Frei… v RB Leip… 2-0
Bayer Leverkus… 12.0%
Feb 28 Bayer L… v FSV Mai… 1-1
Feb 24 Bayer L… v Olympia… 0-0
Feb 21 Bayer L… v Union B… 1-0
Feb 18 Bayer L… v Olympia… 0-2
Feb 14 Bayer L… v FC St. … 4-0
Feb 07 Bayer L… v Borussi… 1-1
Feb 03 Bayer L… v FC St. … 3-0
Jan 31 Bayer L… v Eintrac… 1-3
Jan 28 Bayer L… v Villarr… 3-0
Jan 24 Bayer L… v Werder … 1-0
Head-to-Head (4)
Oct 26, 2025 Bayer Leverku… 2-0 SC Freiburg
May 04, 2025 SC Freiburg 2-2 Bayer Leverku…
Dec 21, 2024 Bayer Leverku… 5-1 SC Freiburg
Mar 17, 2024 SC Freiburg 2-3 Bayer Leverku…
Key Factors
SC Freiburg struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.