Serie B · Mar 07, 2026 14:00
Avellino
PWR 31
Padova
PWR 32
Avellino
PWR 31
2-1
predicted
Padova
PWR 32
33% H
27% D
40% A
Final Verdict
Avellino Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (10%)
1-1 (8%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1-0 (7%)
3-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.0%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack37
Defense52
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.6
Attack29
Defense63
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.2
Avellino Form
LDDLL
STABLE
Padova Form
DWDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.564%
BTTS62%
Under 2.536%
Avellino Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Padova Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.7
Over 3.528%
BTTS Yes54%
Home Clean Sheet24%
Away Clean Sheet29%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (12%)
0-1 (10%)
1-2 (9%)
1-0 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
0-2 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Avellinovs
1.16
PadovaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#13
Avellino-3
Gap#10
Padova
WR 36% 30 pts
WR 36% 34 pts
Avellino
4.0%
| Mar 03 | Avellino v Venezia | 4-0 |
| Feb 28 | Avellino v Juve St… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Avellino v Reggian… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Avellino v Pescara | 0-1 |
| Feb 11 | Avellino v Frosino… | 1-3 |
| Feb 08 | Avellino v Monza | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Avellino v Cesena | 3-1 |
| Jan 24 | Avellino v Spezia | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | Avellino v Carrare… | 1-2 |
| Jan 10 | Avellino v Sampdor… | 2-1 |
Padova
12.0%
| Mar 03 | Padova v Spezia | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Padova v Modena | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Padova v Bari | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Padova v Sampdor… | 1-0 |
| Feb 10 | Padova v Carrare… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Padova v Juve St… | 3-3 |
| Feb 01 | Padova v Monza | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | Padova v Sudtirol | 3-0 |
| Jan 17 | Padova v Mantova | 1-2 |
| Jan 11 | Padova v Modena | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 30, 2025 | Padova | 2-2 | Avellino |
Key Factors
Avellino struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.