Challenge League · Mar 06, 2026 19:15

Étoile Carouge
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

FC Aarau
PWR 35
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 3-0 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 2-0 (5%) 2-2 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Challenge League
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Étoile Carouge Form WDLDW
STABLE
FC Aarau Form WDWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.573%
BTTS73%
Under 2.527%
Étoile Caro… Goals
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
FC Aarau Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 100% 1% OVER
1.5 97% 3% OVER
2.5 90% 10% OVER
3.5 77% 23% OVER
4.5 61% 39% -
5.5 43% 57% -
6.5 28% 72% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total5.3
Over 3.577%
BTTS Yes82%
Home Clean Sheet15%
Away Clean Sheet3%
Top Correct Scores:
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 4-1 (5%) 2-2 (5%) 4-2 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.34
Étoile Carouge
vs
1.41
FC Aarau
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum93%
Standings36%
Market50%
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Étoile Caro…
-7
Gap
#2
FC Aarau
WR 25% 22 pts WR 67% 53 pts
Étoile Carouge 12.0%
Feb 28 Étoile … v Stade L… 0-1
Feb 20 Étoile … v Yverdon… 2-2
Feb 13 Étoile … v Neuchât… 1-3
Feb 06 Étoile … v FC Vaduz 3-3
Jan 30 Étoile … v Rappers… 2-1
Jan 23 Étoile … v Stade N… 2-2
Jan 16 Étoile … v Chênois 3-1
Dec 19 Étoile … v Stade L… 1-2
Dec 12 Étoile … v FC Aarau 2-1
Dec 05 Étoile … v FC WIL … 0-0
FC Aarau 10.0%
Feb 27 FC Aarau v Rappers… 5-3
Feb 20 FC Aarau v Stade N… 1-1
Feb 20 FC Aarau v Luzern … 2-3
Feb 14 FC Aarau v Servett… 0-3
Feb 13 FC Aarau v Stade L… 4-2
Feb 07 FC Aarau v FC WIL … 2-2
Feb 07 FC Aarau v Young B… 3-0
Jan 30 FC Aarau v Yverdon… 1-2
Jan 24 FC Aarau v Bellinz… 1-0
Jan 10 FC Aarau v FK Crve… 4-1
Head-to-Head (7)
Dec 12, 2025 FC Aarau 2-1 Étoile Carouge
Sep 26, 2025 Étoile Carouge 1-3 FC Aarau
May 16, 2025 Étoile Carouge 1-3 FC Aarau
Mar 28, 2025 FC Aarau 2-2 Étoile Carouge
Dec 05, 2024 FC Aarau 0-1 Étoile Carouge
Nov 01, 2024 Étoile Carouge 2-1 FC Aarau
Aug 24, 2024 FC Aarau 1-0 Étoile Carouge
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.