Eredivisie · Mar 07, 2026 15:30
Groningen
PWR 35
Ajax
PWR 35
Groningen
PWR 35
2-3
predicted
Ajax
PWR 35
31% H
28% D
41% A
Final Verdict
Groningen Win
Prediction
2-3
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (13%)
0-1 (13%)
1-0 (12%)
0-0 (12%)
1-2 (7%)
0-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskAway draws 67% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 92% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (31.4%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Groningen Form
LLLLL
DOWN
Ajax Form
DDWDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.535%
BTTS42%
Under 2.565%
Groningen Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Ajax Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 4.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 96% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.2
Over 3.540%
BTTS Yes62%
Home Clean Sheet15%
Away Clean Sheet27%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (10%)
1-2 (10%)
0-1 (8%)
0-2 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
2-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Groningenvs
1.09
AjaxDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings34%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Groningen-8
Gap#3
Ajax
WR 33% 31 pts
WR 25% 44 pts
Groningen
0.0%
| Mar 01 | Groning… v FC Vole… | 3-2 |
| Feb 22 | Groning… v FC Twen… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Groning… v Utrecht | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Groning… v PSV Ein… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Groning… v Sparta … | 2-0 |
| Jan 25 | Groning… v Fortuna… | 1-2 |
| Jan 18 | Groning… v Heerenv… | 0-2 |
| Jan 10 | Groning… v NAC Bre… | 0-0 |
| Jan 06 | Groning… v Bodø/Gl… | 0-4 |
| Dec 21 | Groning… v GO Ahea… | 1-1 |
Ajax
12.0%
| Mar 01 | Ajax v PEC Zwo… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Ajax v NEC Nij… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Ajax v Fortuna… | 4-1 |
| Feb 08 | Ajax v AZ Alkm… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Ajax v Excelsi… | 2-2 |
| Jan 28 | Ajax v Olympia… | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | Ajax v FC Vole… | 2-0 |
| Jan 20 | Ajax v Villarr… | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | Ajax v GO Ahea… | 2-2 |
| Jan 14 | Ajax v AZ Alkm… | 6-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 02, 2025 | Ajax | 2-0 | Groningen |
| May 14, 2025 | Groningen | 2-2 | Ajax |
| Oct 06, 2024 | Ajax | 3-1 | Groningen |
| Oct 06, 2024 | Ajax | 3-1 | Groningen |
| May 16, 2023 | Groningen | 2-3 | Ajax |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Ajax | 6-1 | Groningen |
| Apr 02, 2022 | Groningen | 1-3 | Ajax |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Ajax | 3-0 | Groningen |
| Mar 07, 2021 | Ajax | 3-1 | Groningen |
| Oct 04, 2020 | Groningen | 1-0 | Ajax |
Key Factors
Groningen struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.