Predictions Match Details
Ligue 2 · Mar 06, 2026 19:00

Pau FC
PWR 34
2-0
predicted

Bastia
PWR 28
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
Pau FC Win
Prediction
2-0
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
0-2 (19%) 0-1 (19%) 0-3 (13%) 0-0 (9%) 1-2 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 3/5 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskAway draws 42% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 65% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (35.2%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack43
Defense53
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.6
Attack17
Defense64
Goals/G0.6
Conc/G1.2
Pau FC Form LLLWW
DOWN
Bastia Form LDDDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.541%
BTTS26%
Under 2.559%
Pau FC Goals
0
71%
1
25%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
Bastia Goals
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 84% 16% OVER
1.5 56% 45% -
2.5 29% 72% UNDER
3.5 12% 88% UNDER
4.5 4% 96% UNDER
5.5 1% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total1.9
Over 3.512%
BTTS Yes36%
Home Clean Sheet44%
Away Clean Sheet36%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (16%) 0-0 (16%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (13%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.35
Pau FC
vs
2.02
Bastia
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings67%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Pau FC
+7
Gap
#18
Bastia
WR 31% 34 pts WR 8% 18 pts
Pau FC 8.0%
Feb 28 Pau FC v St Etie… 0-3
Feb 21 Pau FC v Estac T… 4-3
Feb 13 Pau FC v Boulogne 1-2
Feb 06 Pau FC v Red Star 0-3
Jan 30 Pau FC v Laval 0-1
Jan 23 Pau FC v Grenoble 2-2
Jan 16 Pau FC v Dunkerq… 3-1
Jan 03 Pau FC v Rodez 3-3
Dec 12 Pau FC v Amiens 1-2
Dec 06 Pau FC v Montpel… 0-1
Bastia 8.0%
Feb 27 Bastia v Annecy 0-2
Feb 20 Bastia v Dunkerq… 1-1
Feb 16 Bastia v Estac T… 0-0
Feb 06 Bastia v Reims 0-0
Jan 30 Bastia v Annecy 0-0
Jan 23 Bastia v Montpel… 0-2
Jan 16 Bastia v Laval 0-2
Jan 10 Bastia v Estac T… 0-2
Jan 03 Bastia v Grenoble 1-0
Dec 20 Bastia v Pontivy… 0-1
Head-to-Head (5)
Aug 15, 2025 Bastia 1-1 Pau FC
Jan 24, 2025 Bastia 1-1 Pau FC
Oct 22, 2024 Pau FC 1-1 Bastia
May 10, 2024 Pau FC 1-2 Bastia
May 10, 2024 Pau FC 1-2 Bastia
Key Factors
Pau FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.