First League · Mar 04, 2026 14:00

Cherno More Varna
PWR 35
2-1
predicted

Arda Kardzhali
PWR 35
37% H 27% D 36% A
Final Verdict
Arda Kardzhali Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (37%) 0-1 (24%) 1-0 (13%) 1-1 (8%) 0-2 (8%) 1-2 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 46% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 6/10 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 73% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.5%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Cherno More Va… Form LDDDW
STABLE
Arda Kardzhali Form WDWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.58%
BTTS14%
Under 2.592%
Cherno More… Goals
0
71%
1
24%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
Arda Kardzh… Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 74% 26% OVER
1.5 39% 61% -
2.5 16% 84% UNDER
3.5 5% 95% UNDER
4.5 1% 99% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total1.4
Over 3.55%
BTTS Yes24%
Home Clean Sheet51%
Away Clean Sheet50%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (26%) 1-0 (18%) 0-1 (17%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (6%) 0-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.34
Cherno More Va…
vs
0.66
Arda Kardzhali
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum47%
Standings55%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Cherno More…
+3
Gap
#8
Arda Kardzh…
WR 36% 36 pts WR 36% 31 pts
Cherno More Va… 10.0%
Feb 28 Cherno … v Dobrudz… 2-1
Feb 20 Cherno … v Botev V… 0-0
Feb 15 Cherno … v Lokomot… 1-1
Feb 07 Cherno … v Spartak… 0-0
Jan 31 Cherno … v Etar Ve… 2-0
Jan 28 Cherno … v Lokomot… 0-1
Jan 23 Cherno … v Etar Ve… 0-6
Jan 14 Cherno … v Dobrudz… 0-1
Dec 12 Cherno … v Arda Ka… 0-3
Dec 06 Cherno … v CSKA So… 2-0
Arda Kardzhali 14.0%
Feb 27 Arda Ka… v Spartak… 1-0
Feb 22 Arda Ka… v Beroe 0-0
Feb 14 Arda Ka… v Slavia … 2-1
Feb 06 Arda Ka… v CSKA So… 3-1
Jan 29 Arda Ka… v Neftchi 1-0
Jan 26 Arda Ka… v FC UFA 2-1
Dec 12 Arda Ka… v Cherno … 0-3
Dec 06 Arda Ka… v Lokomot… 0-2
Dec 02 Arda Ka… v Botev P… 0-0
Nov 28 Arda Ka… v Lokomot… 0-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Dec 12, 2025 Cherno More V… 0-3 Arda Kardzhali
Sep 22, 2025 Arda Kardzhali 0-1 Cherno More V…
May 18, 2025 Arda Kardzhali 0-0 Cherno More V…
May 04, 2025 Cherno More V… 1-1 Arda Kardzhali
Apr 02, 2025 Arda Kardzhali 4-0 Cherno More V…
Sep 15, 2024 Cherno More V… 1-1 Arda Kardzhali
Nov 07, 2023 Cherno More V… 1-0 Arda Kardzhali
Jul 15, 2023 Arda Kardzhali 3-3 Cherno More V…
May 03, 2023 Arda Kardzhali 2-2 Cherno More V…
Oct 14, 2022 Cherno More V… 1-1 Arda Kardzhali
Key Factors
Arda Kardzhali in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.