First League · Mar 03, 2026 11:30
Spartak Varna
PWR 35
Montana
PWR 35
Spartak Varna
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Montana
PWR 35
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Spartak Varna to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (30%)
0-0 (25%)
2-0 (18%)
3-0 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
0-1 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 2/5 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.0
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Spartak Varna Form
DLDDL
STABLE
Montana Form
DLLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.516%
BTTS13%
Under 2.584%
Spartak Var… Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
Montana Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 1.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.0
Over 3.52%
BTTS Yes15%
Home Clean Sheet65%
Away Clean Sheet56%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (37%)
1-0 (21%)
0-1 (16%)
1-1 (9%)
2-0 (6%)
0-2 (3%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Spartak Varnavs
0.20
MontanaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings61%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Spartak Var…+4
Gap#16
Montana
WR 25% 23 pts
WR 8% 16 pts
Spartak Varna
6.0%
| Feb 28 | Spartak… v Pirin B… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Spartak… v Arda Ka… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Spartak… v Lokomot… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Spartak… v Žilina | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Spartak… v Dunav R… | 4-0 |
| Feb 13 | Spartak… v Lokomot… | 2-2 |
| Feb 08 | Spartak… v ZemplĂn… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Spartak… v Cherno … | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Spartak… v Sevlievo | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Spartak… v Beroe | 2-0 |
Montana
4.0%
| Feb 27 | Montana v Botev P… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Montana v Dobrudz… | 1-0 |
| Feb 16 | Montana v Septemv… | 1-0 |
| Feb 06 | Montana v CSKA 19… | 0-1 |
| Jan 29 | Montana v Leningr… | 0-0 |
| Jan 26 | Montana v Sepsi O… | 1-0 |
| Dec 14 | Montana v Lokomot… | 4-0 |
| Dec 09 | Montana v Botev V… | 0-0 |
| Dec 02 | Montana v Lokomot… | 1-2 |
| Nov 28 | Montana v Lokomot… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Sep 19, 2025 | Montana | 1-2 | Spartak Varna |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Spartak Varna | 1-0 | Montana |
| Oct 09, 2023 | Montana | 1-1 | Spartak Varna |
| May 21, 2022 | Montana | 1-1 | Spartak Varna |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Spartak Varna | 2-1 | Montana |
Key Factors
Montana struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.