Liga 1 · Mar 06, 2026 13:30

Arema FC
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Bali United
PWR 35
61% H 22% D 17% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Arema FC Form LDWWW
STABLE
Bali United Form DDLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.563%
BTTS61%
Under 2.537%
Arema FC Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Bali United Goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 94% 6% OVER
1.5 77% 23% OVER
2.5 53% 47% -
3.5 31% 69% UNDER
4.5 15% 85% UNDER
5.5 7% 94% UNDER
6.5 2% 98% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.8
Over 3.531%
BTTS Yes56%
Home Clean Sheet29%
Away Clean Sheet21%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (12%) 1-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 1-2 (7%) 2-0 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
Arema FC
vs
1.13
Bali United
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings52%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Arema FC
+1
Gap
#11
Bali United
WR 46% 31 pts WR 46% 30 pts
Arema FC 14.0%
Feb 26 Arema FC v Pusaman… 3-1
Feb 21 Arema FC v Persepa… 2-2
Feb 15 Arema FC v Semen P… 3-0
Feb 08 Arema FC v Persija… 0-2
Feb 02 Arema FC v Persijap 1-0
Jan 26 Arema FC v Dewa Un… 2-0
Jan 11 Arema FC v Persik … 2-1
Jan 04 Arema FC v Bali Un… 1-0
Dec 30 Arema FC v Persita 0-1
Dec 23 Arema FC v Persepa… 2-2
Bali United 4.0%
Feb 28 Bali Un… v Persijap 0-0
Feb 23 Bali Un… v PSIM Yo… 3-3
Feb 15 Bali Un… v Persija… 0-1
Feb 07 Bali Un… v Perseba… 1-3
Jan 30 Bali Un… v Persik … 3-2
Jan 24 Bali Un… v Semen P… 3-3
Jan 09 Bali Un… v PSM Mak… 0-2
Jan 04 Bali Un… v Arema FC 1-0
Dec 29 Bali Un… v Dewa Un… 0-0
Dec 22 Bali Un… v PSBS Bi… 0-3
Head-to-Head (10)
Jan 04, 2026 Bali United 1-0 Arema FC
Feb 03, 2025 Arema FC 1-0 Bali United
Sep 11, 2024 Bali United 0-0 Arema FC
Jul 21, 2024 Bali United 0-1 Arema FC
Dec 04, 2023 Bali United 3-2 Arema FC
Jul 21, 2023 Arema FC 1-3 Bali United
Mar 27, 2023 Arema FC 1-3 Bali United
Aug 13, 2022 Bali United 1-2 Arema FC
Mar 15, 2022 Bali United 2-1 Arema FC
Dec 05, 2021 Arema FC 0-0 Bali United
Key Factors
Arema FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
Bali United struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.