J1 League · Mar 07, 2026 06:00
Cerezo Osaka
PWR 35
Shimizu S-Pulse
PWR 35
Cerezo Osaka
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Shimizu S-Pulse
PWR 35
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
Cerezo Osaka Win
Prediction
1-0
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (10%)
2-0 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
1-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
3-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.3%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Cerezo Osaka Form
LLWDL
DOWN
Shimizu S-Pulse Form
DWDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.563%
BTTS60%
Under 2.537%
Cerezo Osaka Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Shimizu S-P… Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 3.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 4.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.2
Over 3.539%
BTTS Yes56%
Home Clean Sheet37%
Away Clean Sheet11%
Top Correct Scores:
2-0 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
1-0 (9%)
1-1 (9%)
3-0 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.33
Cerezo Osakavs
1.08
Shimizu S-PulseDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum83%
Standings52%
Market50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Cerezo Osaka+1
Gap#7
Shimizu S-P…
WR 0% 4 pts
WR 0% 4 pts
Cerezo Osaka
6.0%
| Feb 28 | Cerezo … v V-Varen… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Cerezo … v Sanfrec… | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | Cerezo … v Avispa … | 0-2 |
| Feb 07 | Cerezo … v Gamba O… | 0-0 |
| Dec 06 | Cerezo … v Yokoham… | 1-3 |
| Nov 30 | Cerezo … v Yokoham… | 3-1 |
| Nov 09 | Cerezo … v Shimizu… | 1-4 |
| Oct 25 | Cerezo … v Kawasak… | 2-0 |
| Oct 18 | Cerezo … v Fagiano… | 1-2 |
| Oct 04 | Cerezo … v Nagoya … | 2-1 |
Shimizu S-Pulse
8.0%
| Feb 28 | Shimizu… v Gamba O… | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Shimizu… v Vissel … | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Shimizu… v Kyoto S… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Shimizu… v Nagoya … | 1-0 |
| Dec 06 | Shimizu… v Fagiano… | 1-2 |
| Nov 30 | Shimizu… v Shonan … | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | Shimizu… v Cerezo … | 1-4 |
| Oct 25 | Shimizu… v Tokyo V… | 1-0 |
| Oct 18 | Shimizu… v Kawasak… | 5-3 |
| Oct 04 | Shimizu… v FC Tokyo | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Nov 09, 2025 | Shimizu S-Pul… | 1-4 | Cerezo Osaka |
| Jun 01, 2025 | Cerezo Osaka | 4-2 | Shimizu S-Pul… |
Key Factors
Cerezo Osaka struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.