J1 League · Mar 07, 2026 04:00

JEF United Chiba
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Kashiwa Reysol
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-2 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-2 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-3 (4%) 2-3 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.0
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
JEF United Chi… Form LDDLW
STABLE
Kashiwa Reysol Form WLLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.573%
BTTS85%
Under 2.527%
JEF United … Goals
0
2%
1
9%
2
16%
3
21%
4
19%
Kashiwa Rey… Goals
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 98% 2% OVER
1.5 89% 11% OVER
2.5 72% 28% OVER
3.5 51% 49% -
4.5 32% 68% UNDER
5.5 17% 83% UNDER
6.5 8% 92% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total3.7
Over 3.551%
BTTS Yes69%
Home Clean Sheet23%
Away Clean Sheet10%
Top Correct Scores:
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.79
JEF United Chi…
vs
2.05
Kashiwa Reysol
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum90%
Standings52%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
JEF United …
+1
Gap
#10
Kashiwa Rey…
WR 0% 2 pts WR 0% 0 pts
JEF United Chi… 8.0%
Feb 27 JEF Uni… v Machida… 2-1
Feb 22 JEF Uni… v Mito Ho… 1-1
Feb 15 JEF Uni… v Kawasak… 0-0
Feb 07 JEF Uni… v Urawa 0-2
Dec 13 JEF Uni… v Tokushi… 1-0
Dec 07 JEF Uni… v Omiya A… 4-3
Nov 29 JEF Uni… v Imabari 5-0
Nov 23 JEF Uni… v Oita Tr… 0-1
Nov 09 JEF Uni… v Fujieda… 1-1
Nov 02 JEF Uni… v Consado… 5-2
Kashiwa Reysol 8.0%
Feb 28 Kashiwa… v FC Tokyo 0-2
Feb 21 Kashiwa… v Kashima 2-0
Feb 15 Kashiwa… v Tokyo V… 1-2
Feb 08 Kashiwa… v Kawasak… 5-3
Dec 06 Kashiwa… v Machida… 1-0
Nov 30 Kashiwa… v Albirex… 1-3
Nov 08 Kashiwa… v Nagoya … 1-0
Nov 01 Kashiwa… v Sanfrec… 1-3
Oct 25 Kashiwa… v Yokoham… 2-0
Oct 18 Kashiwa… v Gamba O… 0-5
Key Factors
Kashiwa Reysol struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.