A-League · Mar 06, 2026 08:35

Adelaide United
PWR 35
1-0
predicted

Wellington Phoenix
PWR 35
57% H 23% D 20% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Adelaide United to win (80% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
80%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 1-1 (4%) 1-2 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): A-League
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Adelaide United Form DDWWL
STABLE
Wellington Pho… Form LLDLD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.577%
BTTS82%
Under 2.523%
Adelaide Un… Goals
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Wellington … Goals
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 100% 0% OVER
1.5 98% 2% OVER
2.5 92% 8% OVER
3.5 81% 19% OVER
4.5 66% 34% OVER
5.5 50% 51% -
6.5 34% 66% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total5.6
Over 3.581%
BTTS Yes80%
Home Clean Sheet19%
Away Clean Sheet2%
Top Correct Scores:
3-1 (6%) 4-1 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 4-2 (5%) 5-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.03
Adelaide United
vs
1.95
Wellington Pho…
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings76%
Market50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Adelaide Un…
+8
Gap
#12
Wellington …
WR 60% 30 pts WR 25% 20 pts
Adelaide United 12.0%
Feb 28 Adelaid… v Adelaid… 1-1
Feb 27 Adelaid… v Melbour… 1-1
Feb 20 Adelaid… v Perth G… 4-0
Feb 14 Adelaid… v Sydney 1-2
Feb 08 Adelaid… v Newcast… 2-3
Jan 30 Adelaid… v Macarth… 1-1
Jan 24 Adelaid… v Brisban… 2-3
Jan 17 Adelaid… v Melbour… 2-1
Jan 11 Adelaid… v Welling… 2-2
Jan 04 Adelaid… v Central… 0-4
Wellington Pho… 4.0%
Mar 01 Welling… v Sydney 0-1
Feb 21 Welling… v Auckland 0-5
Feb 13 Welling… v Western… 2-2
Feb 06 Welling… v Melbour… 2-3
Jan 30 Welling… v Melbour… 2-2
Jan 23 Welling… v Newcast… 4-1
Jan 18 Welling… v Sydney 0-2
Jan 11 Welling… v Adelaid… 2-2
Jan 03 Welling… v Brisban… 0-3
Dec 29 Welling… v Melbour… 5-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Jan 11, 2026 Wellington Ph… 2-2 Adelaide Unit…
Nov 29, 2025 Wellington Ph… 2-1 Adelaide Unit…
Apr 18, 2025 Adelaide Unit… 3-2 Wellington Ph…
Jan 11, 2025 Wellington Ph… 1-2 Adelaide Unit…
Mar 03, 2024 Wellington Ph… 3-2 Adelaide Unit…
Jan 04, 2024 Adelaide Unit… 2-2 Wellington Ph…
May 05, 2023 Adelaide Unit… 2-0 Wellington Ph…
Mar 17, 2023 Adelaide Unit… 5-1 Wellington Ph…
Dec 17, 2022 Wellington Ph… 3-1 Adelaide Unit…
Oct 09, 2022 Wellington Ph… 1-1 Adelaide Unit…
Key Factors
Wellington Phoenix struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.