Division Profesional - Apertura · Mar 07, 2026 23:30
Libertad Asunción
PWR 63
Sportivo Luqueño
PWR 45
Libertad Asunción
PWR 63
2-1
predicted
Sportivo Luqueño
PWR 45
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
Libertad Asunción Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (10%)
2-0 (10%)
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
3-0 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.5%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack60
Defense71
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Attack30
Defense68
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G0.9
Libertad Asunc… Form
WLLLD
STABLE
Sportivo Luque… Form
LDWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.556%
BTTS54%
Under 2.544%
Libertad As… Goals
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Sportivo Lu… Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 3.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 4.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.2
Over 3.539%
BTTS Yes51%
Home Clean Sheet43%
Away Clean Sheet10%
Top Correct Scores:
2-0 (12%)
1-0 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
3-0 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Libertad Asunc…vs
0.98
Sportivo Luque…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Libertad As…-1
Gap#3
Sportivo Lu…
WR 56% 35 pts
WR 36% 38 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad Asunci… | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 35 |
| Sportivo Luqueño | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 26 | 38 |
Libertad Asunc…
6.0%
| Mar 02 | Liberta… v Club Sp… | 0-7 |
| Feb 25 | Liberta… v Olimpia | 1-0 |
| Feb 20 | Liberta… v Rubio Ñu | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Liberta… v Sportiv… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Liberta… v Club Gu… | 3-3 |
| Feb 02 | Liberta… v Deporti… | 2-1 |
| Jan 28 | Liberta… v Sportiv… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Liberta… v Cerro P… | 1-1 |
| Nov 27 | Liberta… v General… | 2-0 |
| Nov 23 | Liberta… v Cerro P… | 1-0 |
Sportivo Luque…
10.0%
| Mar 02 | Sportiv… v Rubio Ñu | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Sportiv… v Sportiv… | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Sportiv… v Club Gu… | 3-2 |
| Feb 13 | Sportiv… v Deporti… | 1-2 |
| Feb 06 | Sportiv… v Sportiv… | 0-1 |
| Feb 02 | Sportiv… v Cerro P… | 2-0 |
| Jan 27 | Sportiv… v Naciona… | 1-2 |
| Jan 23 | Sportiv… v 2 de Ma… | 1-2 |
| Nov 30 | Sportiv… v Club Gu… | 2-1 |
| Nov 21 | Sportiv… v Olimpia | 2-4 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Sep 13, 2025 | Sportivo Luqu… | 1-4 | Libertad Asun… |
| Jul 05, 2025 | Libertad Asun… | 0-1 | Sportivo Luqu… |
Key Factors
Libertad Asunción struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.