Liga Portugal 2 · Mar 07, 2026 14:00

Portimonense
PWR 35

Pacos Ferreira
PWR 35

Portimonense
PWR 35
1-0
predicted

Pacos Ferreira
PWR 35
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Portimonense to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (48%)
0-1 (20%)
1-0 (15%)
1-1 (6%)
0-2 (4%)
2-0 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 42% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 69% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Portimonense Form
LLLDD
DOWN
Pacos Ferreira Form
DLDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.54%
BTTS9%
Under 2.596%
Portimonense Goals
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Pacos Ferre… Goals
0
66%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 2.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.6
Over 3.57%
BTTS Yes22%
Home Clean Sheet68%
Away Clean Sheet31%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (25%)
0-0 (21%)
2-0 (14%)
1-1 (10%)
0-1 (8%)
2-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.31
Portimonensevs
0.42
Pacos FerreiraDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings49%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#17
Portimonense+1
Gap#18
Pacos Ferre…
WR 8% 24 pts
WR 18% 24 pts
Portimonense
4.0%
| Feb 28 | Portimo… v União d… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Portimo… v Académi… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Portimo… v Sportin… | 4-3 |
| Feb 09 | Portimo… v Benfica | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Portimo… v Vizela | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Portimo… v Moreire… | 0-1 |
| Jan 17 | Portimo… v Penafie… | 0-2 |
| Jan 11 | Portimo… v Felguei… | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Portimo… v Farense | 0-1 |
| Dec 20 | Portimo… v Chaves | 0-1 |
Pacos Ferreira
8.0%
| Mar 01 | Pacos F… v Moreire… | 0-0 |
| Feb 23 | Pacos F… v FC Porto | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Pacos F… v Moreire… | 0-0 |
| Feb 10 | Pacos F… v Sportin… | 0-3 |
| Jan 23 | Pacos F… v Académi… | 2-1 |
| Jan 15 | Pacos F… v Vizela | 3-0 |
| Jan 04 | Pacos F… v Penafie… | 1-2 |
| Dec 28 | Pacos F… v Farense | 0-0 |
| Dec 20 | Pacos F… v Moreire… | 0-1 |
| Dec 14 | Pacos F… v Lusitân… | 1-5 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 25, 2025 | Pacos Ferreira | 4-1 | Portimonense |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Portimonense | 2-0 | Pacos Ferreira |
Key Factors
Portimonense struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.