Liga Portugal 2 · Mar 07, 2026 14:00

Portimonense
PWR 35
1-0
predicted

Pacos Ferreira
PWR 35
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Portimonense to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (48%) 0-1 (20%) 1-0 (15%) 1-1 (6%) 0-2 (4%) 2-0 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 42% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 69% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Portimonense Form LLLDD
DOWN
Pacos Ferreira Form DLDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.54%
BTTS9%
Under 2.596%
Portimonense Goals
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Pacos Ferre… Goals
0
66%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 79% 21% OVER
1.5 46% 54% -
2.5 20% 80% UNDER
3.5 7% 93% UNDER
4.5 2% 98% UNDER
5.5 1% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total1.6
Over 3.57%
BTTS Yes22%
Home Clean Sheet68%
Away Clean Sheet31%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (25%) 0-0 (21%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.31
Portimonense
vs
0.42
Pacos Ferreira
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings49%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#17
Portimonense
+1
Gap
#18
Pacos Ferre…
WR 8% 24 pts WR 18% 24 pts
Portimonense 4.0%
Feb 28 Portimo… v União d… 1-0
Feb 22 Portimo… v Académi… 0-1
Feb 15 Portimo… v Sportin… 4-3
Feb 09 Portimo… v Benfica 1-1
Jan 31 Portimo… v Vizela 1-1
Jan 25 Portimo… v Moreire… 0-1
Jan 17 Portimo… v Penafie… 0-2
Jan 11 Portimo… v Felguei… 0-0
Jan 03 Portimo… v Farense 0-1
Dec 20 Portimo… v Chaves 0-1
Pacos Ferreira 8.0%
Mar 01 Pacos F… v Moreire… 0-0
Feb 23 Pacos F… v FC Porto 1-0
Feb 15 Pacos F… v Moreire… 0-0
Feb 10 Pacos F… v Sportin… 0-3
Jan 23 Pacos F… v Académi… 2-1
Jan 15 Pacos F… v Vizela 3-0
Jan 04 Pacos F… v Penafie… 1-2
Dec 28 Pacos F… v Farense 0-0
Dec 20 Pacos F… v Moreire… 0-1
Dec 14 Pacos F… v Lusitân… 1-5
Head-to-Head (2)
Oct 25, 2025 Pacos Ferreira 4-1 Portimonense
Apr 18, 2025 Portimonense 2-0 Pacos Ferreira
Key Factors
Portimonense struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.